Football · Brazil Paulista Serie B · 05/07, 15:00

Prediction: SC Paulinense U23 vs Sao Carlos U23

Expected goals: 2.27 (SC Paulinense U23 1.15 · Sao Carlos U23 1.12). The model gives 36% home, 30% draw, 34% away. Under 2.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, SC Paulinense U23 sits at 6-0-4 (W-D-L), while Sao Carlos U23 arrives on a 3-3-4 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, SC Paulinense U23 won 1 and Sao Carlos U23 0.

36%1
36% 30% 34%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Paulinense U23 1524 · Sao Carlos U23 1487
SC Paulinense U23DrawSao Carlos U23
Our model35%31%34%
Market36%29%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.27SC Paulinense U23 1.15 · Sao Carlos U23 1.12
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SC Paulinense U23Sao Carlos U23
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.41.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.92.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.55.2 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Paulinense U23 100 Sao Carlos U23

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/06/26
Brazil Paulista Serie B
Sao Carlos U230-1
HT 0-0
SC Paulinense U23

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Paulinense U23

WLLLWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Sao Carlos U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 1-0 15 W
20/06 Guarulhos U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-1 2-1 23 W
14/06 GO Audax U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
1-0 1-0 56 W
07/06 Flamengo SP U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 0-1 46 L
30/05 Votoraty U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
1-0 2-1 68 W
24/05 Paulinia Universitario U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
1-0 1-0 16 W
17/05 Guarulhos U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
1-3 1-7 85 L
09/05 GO Audax U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 0-2 49 L
02/05 Flamengo SP U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 0-1 25 L
26/04 Votoraty U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 2-1 63 W

Sao Carlos U23

WWLLDLDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 SC Paulinense U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 0-1 65 L
20/06 Santacruzense U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 1-1 52 D
13/06 Independente SP U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
2-0 2-0 26 W
07/06 Matonense U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 1-1 45 D
23/05 Mogi Mirim U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
1-1 1-3 57 L
16/05 Santacruzense U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 1-1 85 D
10/05 Independente SP U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 1-2 47 L
02/05 Matonense U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-2 0-2 79 L
26/04 Gremio Catanduvense U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
2-0 2-1 55 W
18/04 Mogi Mirim U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
1-0 2-0 75 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Paulinense U23 vs Sao Carlos U23?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Paulinense U23 win (36%). Probabilities: SC Paulinense U23 36%, draw 30%, Sao Carlos U23 34%.

How many goals are expected in SC Paulinense U23 vs Sao Carlos U23?

The model expects 2.27 goals (SC Paulinense U23 1.15 · Sao Carlos U23 1.12), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Paulinense U23 vs Sao Carlos U23?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.