Prediction: Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) vs Minnesota Aurora FC (W)
Expected goals: 2.81 (Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) 1.37 · Minnesota Aurora FC (W) 1.44). The model gives 36% home, 25% draw, 39% away. Under 3.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) is 9-1-0 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Minnesota Aurora FC (W) 10-0-0 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) and 1 for Minnesota Aurora FC (W).
| Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) | Draw | Minnesota Aurora FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 28% | 38% |
| Market | 37% | 24% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 17 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) | Minnesota Aurora FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 0.5 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 1 | 1.3 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 100/0/0% | 100/0/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 13 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) 0–0–1 Minnesota Aurora FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/25 USA USL W-League Women | Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) | 0-2 | Minnesota Aurora FC (W) |
Standings · USA USL W-League Women · USL W League 2026, Heartland Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Aurora FC (W) | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 36 |
| 2 | River Light SC (W) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 22 |
| 3 | Edgewater Castle (W) | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Sioux Falls City FC (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 17 |
| 5 | Rockford Raptors (W) | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 16 |
| 6 | Rally Madison FC (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 27 | 13 |
| 7 | RKC Third Coast (W) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 8 |
| 8 | Rochester FC (W) | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 33 | 6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Pittsburgh Steel City FC Women USA USL W-League Women |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | FC Buffalo Women USA USL W-League Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/06 | Cleveland Force SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 15/06 | Erie Sports Center Women USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Erie Sports Center Women USA USL W-League Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Flower City Union Women USA USL W-League Women |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Cleveland Force SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | Pittsburgh Steel City FC Women USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Flower City Union Women USA USL W-League Women |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Minnesota Aurora FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Union FC Macomb Women USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/06 | RKC Third Coast (W) USA USL W-League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | River Light SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Sioux Falls City FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Edgewater Castle (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/06 | Sioux Falls City FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | RKC Third Coast (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | River Light SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Rockford Raptors (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Rally Madison FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) vs Minnesota Aurora FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Minnesota Aurora FC (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) 36%, draw 25%, Minnesota Aurora FC (W) 39%.
How many goals are expected in Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) vs Minnesota Aurora FC (W)?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) 1.37 · Minnesota Aurora FC (W) 1.44), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) vs Minnesota Aurora FC (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

