Prediction: BA FC vs Nadi FC
Expected goals: 4.24 (BA FC 3.11 · Nadi FC 1.12). The model gives 76% home, 14% draw, 10% away. Over 4 goals (51%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 3-1.
Over its last 10 matches, BA FC sits at 6-1-3 (W-D-L), while Nadi FC arrives on a 3-2-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for BA FC and 0 for Nadi FC, with 2 draws.
| BA FC | Draw | Nadi FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 76% | 14% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BA FC (rating 1552 vs 1480).
- H2H favours BA FC: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BA FC | Nadi FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1 | 1.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 6.3 / 8.2 | 0.8 / 2.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · BA FC 4–2–0 Nadi FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/25 Fiji National League | Nadi FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | BA FC |
| 15/10/24 Fiji Cup | BA FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nadi FC |
| 01/06/24 Fiji Cup | BA FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nadi FC |
| 07/11/21 Fiji National League | Nadi FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | BA FC |
| 06/10/20 Fiji Cup | BA FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Nadi FC |
| 16/08/20 Fiji Cup | BA FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Nadi FC |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BA FC | Nadi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Nasinu FC | 6-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Lautoka FC | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Rewa FC | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Labasa FC | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Navua FC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Suva FC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: BA FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BA FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Nasinu FC Fiji Cup |
3-0 | 6-0 | 22 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Lautoka FC Fiji Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/06 | Nadroga FC Fiji Cup |
0-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Rewa FC Fiji National League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Tailevu Naitasiri Fiji National League |
4-0 | 9-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Labasa FC Fiji National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Lautoka FC Fiji National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Navua FC Fiji National League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | Nasinu FC Fiji National League |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/03 | Suva FC Fiji National League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Nadi FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Navua FC Fiji National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | Suva FC Fiji National League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Lautoka FC Fiji National League |
– | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Nasinu FC Fiji National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Rewa FC Fiji National League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 22/02 | Navua FC Fiji National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 09/10 | Lautoka FC Fiji Cup |
3-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/10 | Suva FC Fiji Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/10 | Labasa FC Fiji Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/09 | Navua FC Fiji National League |
2-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BA FC vs Nadi FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a BA FC win (76%). Probabilities: BA FC 76%, draw 14%, Nadi FC 10%.
How many goals are expected in BA FC vs Nadi FC?
The model expects 4.24 goals (BA FC 3.11 · Nadi FC 1.12), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in BA FC vs Nadi FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.