Football · Fiji National League · 05/07, 04:00

Prediction: Labasa FC vs Nadroga FC

Expected goals: 3.66 (Labasa FC 2.74 · Nadroga FC 0.91). The model gives 75% home, 16% draw, 9% away. Under 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 2-0.

On recent form, Labasa FC is 4-4-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Nadroga FC 2-2-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Labasa FC won 3 and Nadroga FC 1, with 2 draws.

75%1
75% 16% 9%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Labasa FC 1564 · Nadroga FC 1455
Labasa FCDrawNadroga FC
Our model75%16%9%
Market75%16%9%
Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.66Labasa FC 2.74 · Nadroga FC 0.91
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Labasa FC (rating 1564 vs 1455).
  • H2H favours Labasa FC: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Labasa FCNadroga FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 11.9 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.40.9 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)44/33/22%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)4.1 / 8.31.6 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.42.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Labasa FC 321 Nadroga FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/03/26
Fiji National League
Nadroga FC0-5
HT 0-3
Labasa FC
02/08/25
World Club Friendlies
Labasa FC2-0
HT 2-0
Nadroga FC
01/06/25
Fiji Cup
Labasa FC1-2
HT 1-1
Nadroga FC
11/05/25
Fiji National League
Nadroga FC0-3
HT 0-0
Labasa FC
25/02/24
Fiji National League
Nadroga FC2-2
HT 1-2
Labasa FC
21/11/21
Fiji National League
Nadroga FC0-0
HT 0-0
Labasa FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLabasa FCNadroga FC
Navua FC 0-0 D 1-1 D
Suva FC 1-1 D 4-1 W
Nasinu FC 2-2 D 4-0 W
Lautoka FC 2-1 W 0-2 L
BA FC 2-1 W 1-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Labasa FC

LWLDWWDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Rewa FC
Fiji Cup
3-2 4-2 56 W
20/06 Navua FC
Fiji Cup
0-0 0-0 103 D
19/06 Suva FC
Fiji Cup
0-1 1-1 156 D
29/05 Nasinu FC
Fiji National League
0-0 2-2 143 D
10/05 Lautoka FC
Fiji National League
2-1 W
03/05 BA FC
Fiji National League
1-0 2-1 W
19/04 Suva FC
Fiji National League
0-0 0-0 25 D
22/03 Rewa FC
Fiji National League
1-0 1-2 34 L
08/03 Nadroga FC
Fiji National League
3-0 5-0 W
08/02 Rewa FC
Fiji Super Cup
0-1 0-1 95 L

Nadroga FC

LLLDLWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Lautoka FC
Fiji Cup
0-2 0-2 42 L
20/06 Nasinu FC
Fiji Cup
1-0 4-0 25 W
19/06 BA FC
Fiji Cup
0-0 1-4 15 L
23/05 Navua FC
Fiji National League
1-1 1-1 D
17/05 Suva FC
Fiji National League
2-1 4-1 30 W
03/05 Lautoka FC
Fiji National League
2-2 2-3 L
15/03 Tailevu Naitasiri
Fiji National League
1-2 3-3 44 D
08/03 Labasa FC
Fiji National League
0-3 0-5 L
22/02 BA FC
Fiji National League
0-2 2-5 11 L
09/10 Navua FC
Fiji Cup
2-1 2-5 21 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Labasa FC vs Nadroga FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Labasa FC win (75%). Probabilities: Labasa FC 75%, draw 16%, Nadroga FC 9%.

How many goals are expected in Labasa FC vs Nadroga FC?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Labasa FC 2.74 · Nadroga FC 0.91), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Labasa FC vs Nadroga FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.