Prediction: Navua FC vs Suva FC
Expected goals: 2.78 (Navua FC 1.27 · Suva FC 1.51). The model gives 32% home, 26% draw, 42% away. Under 3 goals (56%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Navua FC with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Suva FC has piled up 2-4-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Navua FC won 3 and Suva FC 2, with 1 draw.
| Navua FC | Draw | Suva FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Navua FC (rating 1509 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Navua FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Navua FC | Suva FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/56/0% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 2.9 | 2.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Navua FC 3–1–2 Suva FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Fiji Cup | Suva FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Navua FC |
| 08/03/26 Fiji National League | Suva FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Navua FC |
| 02/08/25 World Club Friendlies | Suva FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Navua FC |
| 14/06/25 Fiji National League | Suva FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Navua FC |
| 18/05/25 Fiji National League | Navua FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Suva FC |
| 16/10/24 Fiji Cup | Navua FC | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Suva FC |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Navua FC | Suva FC |
|---|---|---|
| Labasa FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Rewa FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Nadi FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Nadroga FC | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Nasinu FC | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Tailevu Naitasiri | 4-1 W | 8-0 W |
| Lautoka FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Navua FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Suva FC Fiji Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Labasa FC Fiji Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/06 | Rewa FC Fiji Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Nadi FC Fiji National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Nadroga FC Fiji National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Nasinu FC Fiji National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Rewa FC Fiji National League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Tailevu Naitasiri Fiji National League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | BA FC Fiji National League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/03 | Lautoka FC Fiji National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
Suva FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Navua FC Fiji Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Rewa FC Fiji Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Labasa FC Fiji Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 29/05 | Lautoka FC Fiji National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 22/05 | Nadi FC Fiji National League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Nadroga FC Fiji National League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Nasinu FC Fiji National League |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/05 | Rewa FC Fiji National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Tailevu Naitasiri Fiji National League |
5-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Labasa FC Fiji National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Navua FC vs Suva FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Suva FC win (42%). Probabilities: Navua FC 32%, draw 26%, Suva FC 42%.
How many goals are expected in Navua FC vs Suva FC?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Navua FC 1.27 · Suva FC 1.51), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Navua FC vs Suva FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.