Prediction: RTC FC vs Ugyen Academy
Expected goals: 4.14 (RTC FC 3.07 · Ugyen Academy 1.07). The model gives 79% home, 12% draw, 9% away. Under 4.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 3-1.
On recent form, RTC FC is 6-2-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Ugyen Academy 4-0-6 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for RTC FC and 1 for Ugyen Academy, with 1 draw.
| RTC FC | Draw | Ugyen Academy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 82% | 10% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RTC FC (rating 1537 vs 1465).
- H2H favours RTC FC: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RTC FC | Ugyen Academy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.8 | 1.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.5 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RTC FC 3–1–1 Ugyen Academy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 Bhutan Premier League | Ugyen Academy | 1-2 HT 0-1 | RTC FC |
| 30/08/23 Bhutan Premier League | RTC FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Ugyen Academy |
| 10/12/22 Bhutan Premier League | Ugyen Academy | 2-2 HT 0-1 | RTC FC |
| 03/11/22 Bhutan Premier League | RTC FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Ugyen Academy |
| 20/06/22 Bhutan Premier League Qualifiers | Ugyen Academy | 0-2 HT 0-1 | RTC FC |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RTC FC | Ugyen Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Transport United FC | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Thimphu City | 1-0 W | 1-7 L |
| Paro FC | 0-4 L | 0-11 L |
| Tensung FC | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Southern City | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: RTC FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RTC FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Transport United FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Drukpa FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/05 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 19/05 | Paro FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/05 | Tensung FC Bhutan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 19/10 | Transport United FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 11 | D |
| 21/09 | Ugyen Academy Bhutan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Tsirang FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 19/08 | Southern City Bhutan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 13/08 | Tensung FC Bhutan Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
Ugyen Academy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
1-4 | 1-7 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/06 | Paro FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-5 | 0-11 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Tensung FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | BFF Academy U19 Bhutan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/10 | Transport United FC Bhutan Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 14/10 | BFF Academy U19 Bhutan Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/10 | Southern City Bhutan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/09 | RTC FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
2-2 | 2-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RTC FC vs Ugyen Academy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a RTC FC win (79%). Probabilities: RTC FC 79%, draw 12%, Ugyen Academy 9%.
How many goals are expected in RTC FC vs Ugyen Academy?
The model expects 4.14 goals (RTC FC 3.07 · Ugyen Academy 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in RTC FC vs Ugyen Academy?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.