Prediction: Macau University vs Hang Sai
Expected goals: 4.58 (Macau University 1.39 · Hang Sai 3.19). The model gives 13% home, 15% draw, 72% away. Under 4.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-3.
On recent form, Macau University is 0-0-10 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Hang Sai 2-2-6 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Macau University and 3 for Hang Sai, with 1 draw.
| Macau University | Draw | Hang Sai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| Market | 13% | 15% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hang Sai (rating 1365 vs 1447).
- H2H favours Hang Sai: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macau University | Hang Sai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 4.5 | 2 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.5 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Macau University 1–1–3 Hang Sai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Macau FA Cup | Macau University | 1-6 HT 0-4 | Hang Sai |
| 22/03/26 Macau 1st Division | Hang Sai | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Macau University |
| 03/05/25 Macau 1st Division | Hang Sai | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Macau University |
| 27/04/24 Macau 1st Division | Hang Sai | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Macau University |
| 22/05/22 Macau 2nd Division | Macau University | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Hang Sai |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Macau University | Hang Sai |
|---|---|---|
| Gorilla Of The Universe SC | 3-5 L | 7-3 W |
| Shao Jiang SA | 0-6 L | 2-5 L |
| MUST IPO | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Gala | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Macau Chiba FC | 1-7 L | 1-2 L |
| Cheng Fung | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Hang Sai (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Macau University
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau 1st Division |
2-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Shao Jiang SA Macau 1st Division |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | MUST IPO Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Hang Sai Macau FA Cup |
0-4 | 1-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
0-3 | 1-7 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Cheng Fung Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Hang Sai Macau 1st Division |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau 1st Division |
1-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/01 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
Hang Sai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Shao Jiang SA Macau 1st Division |
0-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | MUST IPO Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Gala Macau FA Cup |
0-3 | 0-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Macau University Macau FA Cup |
4-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Cheng Fung Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Benfica Macau Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau 1st Division |
4-1 | 7-3 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Macau University vs Hang Sai?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hang Sai win (72%). Probabilities: Macau University 13%, draw 15%, Hang Sai 72%.
How many goals are expected in Macau University vs Hang Sai?
The model expects 4.58 goals (Macau University 1.39 · Hang Sai 3.19), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Macau University vs Hang Sai?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.