Prediction: Macau Chiba FC vs Cheng Fung
Expected goals: 4.16 (Macau Chiba FC 2.43 · Cheng Fung 1.74). The model gives 52% home, 21% draw, 27% away. Over 3.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves Macau Chiba FC with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Cheng Fung has piled up 3-3-4 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Macau Chiba FC and 1 for Cheng Fung.
| Macau Chiba FC | Draw | Cheng Fung | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 21% | 27% |
| Market | 52% | 21% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Macau Chiba FC (rating 1537 vs 1489).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macau Chiba FC | Cheng Fung | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.9 | 1.9 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.3 | 1.1 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Macau Chiba FC 1–0–1 Cheng Fung
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Macau 1st Division | Cheng Fung | 2-5 HT 1-3 | Macau Chiba FC |
| 11/05/25 Macau 1st Division | Macau Chiba FC | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Cheng Fung |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Macau Chiba FC | Cheng Fung |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Macau | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Artilheiros | 3-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Gorilla Of The Universe SC | 7-0 W | 4-4 D |
| Hang Sai | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Shao Jiang SA | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Macau University | 7-1 W | 3-0 W |
| MUST IPO | 0-0 D | 0-5 L |
| Gala | 2-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Macau Chiba FC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Macau Chiba FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Benfica Macau Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau FA Cup |
2-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Hang Sai Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Shao Jiang SA Macau 1st Division |
2-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Macau University Macau 1st Division |
3-0 | 7-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | MUST IPO Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau 1st Division |
0-2 | 1-5 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Cheng Fung Macau 1st Division |
3-1 | 5-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
Cheng Fung
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau 1st Division |
1-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | MUST IPO Macau FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Benfica Macau Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Hang Sai Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Macau University Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Shao Jiang SA Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
1-3 | 2-5 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 08/03 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Macau Chiba FC vs Cheng Fung?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Macau Chiba FC win (52%). Probabilities: Macau Chiba FC 52%, draw 21%, Cheng Fung 27%.
How many goals are expected in Macau Chiba FC vs Cheng Fung?
The model expects 4.16 goals (Macau Chiba FC 2.43 · Cheng Fung 1.74), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Macau Chiba FC vs Cheng Fung?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.