Prediction: Maua U23 vs Uniao Mogi U23
Expected goals: 3.19 (Maua U23 1.89 · Uniao Mogi U23 1.29). The model gives 50% home, 25% draw, 25% away. Over 2.5 goals (56%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Maua U23 sits at 4-4-2 (W-D-L), while Uniao Mogi U23 arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Maua U23 won 4 and Uniao Mogi U23 0, with 1 draw.
| Maua U23 | Draw | Uniao Mogi U23 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Maua U23: 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maua U23 | Uniao Mogi U23 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.5 | 1.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.6 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maua U23 4–1–0 Uniao Mogi U23
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Brazil Paulista Serie B | Uniao Mogi U23 | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Maua U23 |
| 06/06/26 Brazil Paulista Serie B | Maua U23 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Uniao Mogi U23 |
| 03/05/26 Brazil Paulista Serie B | Uniao Mogi U23 | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Maua U23 |
| 14/06/25 Brazil Paulista Serie B | Uniao Mogi U23 | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Maua U23 |
| 18/05/24 Brazil Paulista Serie B | Uniao Mogi U23 | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Maua U23 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maua U23 | Uniao Mogi U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona SP U23 | 6-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Itaquaquecetuba U23 | 1-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Mauaense U23 | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Manthiqueira U23 | 2-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Uniao Mogi U23 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maua U23
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Uniao Mogi U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 20/06 | Barcelona SP U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
2-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Itaquaquecetuba U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-4 | 1-5 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Uniao Mogi U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Mauaense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 23/05 | Manthiqueira U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Barcelona SP U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Itaquaquecetuba U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Uniao Mogi U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Mauaense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
Uniao Mogi U23
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Maua U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Itaquaquecetuba U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Mauaense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Maua U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Manthiqueira U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Barcelona SP U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Itaquaquecetuba U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Mauaense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Maua U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Manthiqueira U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maua U23 vs Uniao Mogi U23?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maua U23 win (50%). Probabilities: Maua U23 50%, draw 25%, Uniao Mogi U23 25%.
How many goals are expected in Maua U23 vs Uniao Mogi U23?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Maua U23 1.89 · Uniao Mogi U23 1.29), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Maua U23 vs Uniao Mogi U23?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.