Prediction: Itaquaquecetuba U23 vs Paulinia Universitario U23
Expected goals: 2.97 (Itaquaquecetuba U23 2.16 · Paulinia Universitario U23 0.81). The model gives 68% home, 20% draw, 12% away. Over 2.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Itaquaquecetuba U23 sits at 8-1-1 (W-D-L), while Paulinia Universitario U23 arrives on a 2-1-7 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Itaquaquecetuba U23 and 0 for Paulinia Universitario U23.
| Itaquaquecetuba U23 | Draw | Paulinia Universitario U23 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 21% | 12% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Itaquaquecetuba U23 (rating 1587 vs 1443).
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Itaquaquecetuba U23 | Paulinia Universitario U23 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 7 | 1.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.5 / 0.5 | 5.5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Itaquaquecetuba U23 1–0–0 Paulinia Universitario U23
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Brazil Paulista Serie B | Paulinia Universitario U23 | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Itaquaquecetuba U23 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Itaquaquecetuba U23
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Paulinia Universitario U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 20/06 | Uniao Mogi U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Maua U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
4-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Manthiqueira U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Barcelona SP U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Mauaense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 12 | W |
| 17/05 | Uniao Mogi U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Maua U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Manthiqueira U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Barcelona SP U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Paulinia Universitario U23
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Itaquaquecetuba U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 20/06 | Votoraty U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 13/06 | Flamengo SP U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 05/06 | Guarulhos U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | GO Audax U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | SC Paulinense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 15/05 | Votoraty U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Flamengo SP U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 03/05 | Guarulhos U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | GO Audax U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Itaquaquecetuba U23 vs Paulinia Universitario U23?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Itaquaquecetuba U23 win (68%). Probabilities: Itaquaquecetuba U23 68%, draw 20%, Paulinia Universitario U23 12%.
How many goals are expected in Itaquaquecetuba U23 vs Paulinia Universitario U23?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Itaquaquecetuba U23 2.16 · Paulinia Universitario U23 0.81), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Itaquaquecetuba U23 vs Paulinia Universitario U23?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.