Prediction: MUST IPO vs Benfica Macau
Expected goals: 4.4 (MUST IPO 3.2 · Benfica Macau 1.2). The model gives 84% home, 10% draw, 7% away. Under 4.75 goals (56%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 3-1.
On recent form, MUST IPO is 8-1-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Benfica Macau 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, MUST IPO won 4 and Benfica Macau 1, with 1 draw.
| MUST IPO | Draw | Benfica Macau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 90% | 6% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MUST IPO (rating 1600 vs 1512).
- H2H favours MUST IPO: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 14.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MUST IPO | Benfica Macau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.6 / 0.5 | 2.1 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.1 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 10.2 | 1.5 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MUST IPO 4–1–1 Benfica Macau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Macau 1st Division | Benfica Macau | 0-7 HT 0-3 | MUST IPO |
| 09/07/25 Macau FA Cup | MUST IPO | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Benfica Macau |
| 05/07/25 Macau 1st Division | Benfica Macau | 1-3 HT 1-1 | MUST IPO |
| 25/05/25 Macau 1st Division | MUST IPO | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Benfica Macau |
| 25/04/25 Macau 1st Division | MUST IPO | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Benfica Macau |
| 27/07/24 Macau 1st Division | MUST IPO | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Benfica Macau |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MUST IPO | Benfica Macau |
|---|---|---|
| Artilheiros | 10-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Hang Sai | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Cheng Fung | 5-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Shao Jiang SA | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Macau Chiba FC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Gala | 3-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: MUST IPO (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MUST IPO
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
6-0 | 10-1 | 18 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Hang Sai Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Cheng Fung Macau FA Cup |
1-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 29/05 | Macau University Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Shao Jiang SA Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 21/03 | Benfica Macau Macau 1st Division |
3-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/03 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
8-0 | 13-0 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 17/01 | Shao Jiang SA Macau 1st Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
Benfica Macau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Shao Jiang SA Macau FA Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Cheng Fung Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Artilheiros Macau FA Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
4-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau 1st Division |
2-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 24/04 | Hang Sai Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Shao Jiang SA Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 21/03 | MUST IPO Macau 1st Division |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MUST IPO vs Benfica Macau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MUST IPO win (84%). Probabilities: MUST IPO 84%, draw 10%, Benfica Macau 7%.
How many goals are expected in MUST IPO vs Benfica Macau?
The model expects 4.4 goals (MUST IPO 3.2 · Benfica Macau 1.2), with a 56% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in MUST IPO vs Benfica Macau?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.