Prediction: Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers FC
Expected goals: 3.85 (Charlestown Azzurri 1.55 · Weston Workers FC 2.3). The model gives 25% home, 21% draw, 54% away. Over 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-2.
On recent form, Charlestown Azzurri is 1-2-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Weston Workers FC 4-3-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Charlestown Azzurri won 4 and Weston Workers FC 2.
| Charlestown Azzurri | Draw | Weston Workers FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 21% | 54% |
| Market | 25% | 21% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weston Workers FC (rating 1419 vs 1502).
- H2H favours Charlestown Azzurri: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Charlestown Azzurri | Weston Workers FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.2 | 2.8 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlestown Azzurri 4–0–2 Weston Workers FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Weston Workers FC | 2-4 HT 0-3 | Charlestown Azzurri |
| 30/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Weston Workers FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Charlestown Azzurri |
| 16/02/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Charlestown Azzurri | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Weston Workers FC |
| 21/07/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Weston Workers FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Charlestown Azzurri |
| 07/04/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Charlestown Azzurri | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Weston Workers FC |
| 27/08/23 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Charlestown Azzurri | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Weston Workers FC |
Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Belmont Swansea United SC | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 30 | 32 |
| 3 | Edgeworth Eagles | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 29 | 29 |
| 4 | Weston Workers FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 27 | 27 |
| 5 | Maitland FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 27 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 31 | 23 |
| 7 | Lambton Jaffas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 22 |
| 8 | Newcastle Olympic FC | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 18 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebud | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 17 |
| 10 | Valentine Phoenix | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 16 |
| 11 | Kahibah FC | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 40 | 14 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Charlestown Azzurri | Weston Workers FC |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Olympic FC | 1-7 L | 2-1 W |
| Belmont Swansea United SC | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Cooks Hill United | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Kahibah FC | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Lambton Jaffas | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Edgeworth Eagles | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Adamstown Rosebud | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Broadmeadow Magic | 3-5 L | 1-5 L |
| Maitland FC | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Valentine Phoenix | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 7 L | 4 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Weston Workers FC (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charlestown Azzurri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-4 | 1-7 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/06 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 21/06 | Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
Weston Workers FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/06 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Weston Workers FC win (54%). Probabilities: Charlestown Azzurri 25%, draw 21%, Weston Workers FC 54%.
How many goals are expected in Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers FC?
The model expects 3.85 goals (Charlestown Azzurri 1.55 · Weston Workers FC 2.3), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.