Football · Paraguay Women League · 05/07, 20:00

Prediction: Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)

Expected goals: 3.95 (Sportivo Luqueno (W) 1.63 · 2 de Mayo (W) 2.32). The model gives 26% home, 22% draw, 52% away. Over 3.5 goals (54%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-2.

Recent form leaves Sportivo Luqueno (W) with 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; 2 de Mayo (W) has piled up 2-0-8 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Luqueno (W) won 1 and 2 de Mayo (W) 4.

52%2
26% 22% 52%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sportivo Luqueno (W) 1413 · 2 de Mayo (W) 1417
Sportivo Luqueno (W)Draw2 de Mayo (W)
Our model26%21%53%
Market26%22%52%
Estimated total (ours) 3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.95Sportivo Luqueno (W) 1.63 · 2 de Mayo (W) 2.32
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours 2 de Mayo (W): 4-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sportivo Luqueno (W)2 de Mayo (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 4.11.2 / 3.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 20.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/20/70%22/11/67%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 2.41.3 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.23.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Luqueno (W) 104 2 de Mayo (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
08/06/25
Paraguay Women League
2 de Mayo (W)1-0Sportivo Luqueno (W)
17/03/25
Paraguay Women League
Sportivo Luqueno (W)0-3
HT 0-1
2 de Mayo (W)
28/10/24
Paraguay Copa EFE Women
Sportivo Luqueno (W)1-4
HT 1-2
2 de Mayo (W)
20/07/24
Paraguay Women League
2 de Mayo (W)3-1
HT 2-0
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
19/06/24
Paraguay Women League
Sportivo Luqueno (W)4-0
HT 1-0
2 de Mayo (W)

Standings · Paraguay Women League

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Libertad Limpeno (W) 11920 53629
2 Club Guarani (W) 10820 22726
3 Cerro Porteno (W) 11722 40723
4 Olimpia Asuncion (W) 8620 38120
5 Sportivo Trinidense (W) 9513 141216
6 Nacional-Humaita (W) 12516 212516
7 Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 11506 292715
8 Deportivo Recoleta (W) 10406 162712
9 Rubio Nu (W) 10217 8327
10 2 de Mayo (W) 10208 12346
11 Sportivo Luqueno (W) 10127 6415
12 Sportivo Ameliano (W) 10019 6461

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSportivo Luqueno (W)2 de Mayo (W)
Olimpia Asuncion (W) 0-7 L 0-3 L
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 1-6 L 1-3 L
Libertad Limpeno (W) 0-9 L 1-11 L
Rubio Nu (W) 1-1 D 1-3 L
Sportivo Trinidense (W) 0-1 L 2-4 L
Club Guarani (W) 0-5 L 2-4 L
Deportivo Recoleta (W) 3-0 W 2-1 W
Sportivo Ameliano (W) 1-1 D 2-0 W
Cerro Porteno (W) 0-9 L 0-2 L
Nacional-Humaita (W) 0-2 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 7 L 2 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: 2 de Mayo (W) (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportivo Luqueno (W)

LLDWLLDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-3 0-7 01 L
31/05 Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
Paraguay Women League
1-4 1-6 25 L
24/05 Libertad Limpeno (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-6 0-9 02 L
16/05 Rubio Nu (W)
Paraguay Women League
1-0 1-1 23 D
12/05 Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-1 0-1 69 L
01/05 Club Guarani (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-3 0-5 14 L
23/04 Deportivo Recoleta (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-0 3-0 46 W
19/04 Sportivo Ameliano (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-1 1-1 42 D
28/03 Cerro Porteno (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-2 0-9 13 L
22/03 Nacional-Humaita (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-0 0-2 46 L

2 de Mayo (W)

LLLWWLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-1 1-3 24 L
31/05 Libertad Limpeno (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-2 1-11 02 L
24/05 Rubio Nu (W)
Paraguay Women League
1-0 1-3 611 L
16/05 Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Paraguay Women League
2-2 2-4 44 L
10/05 Club Guarani (W)
Paraguay Women League
2-4 L
03/05 Deportivo Recoleta (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-1 2-1 51 W
26/04 Sportivo Ameliano (W)
Paraguay Women League
1-0 2-0 23 W
23/04 Cerro Porteno (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-2 0-2 32 L
28/03 Nacional-Humaita (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-2 1-3 72 L
21/03 Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-1 0-3 03 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an 2 de Mayo (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Sportivo Luqueno (W) 26%, draw 22%, 2 de Mayo (W) 52%.

How many goals are expected in Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)?

The model expects 3.95 goals (Sportivo Luqueno (W) 1.63 · 2 de Mayo (W) 2.32), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.