Prediction: Sheriff Tiraspol vs NK Aluminij
Expected goals: 2.38 (Sheriff Tiraspol 1.74 · NK Aluminij 0.64). The model gives 63% home, 24% draw, 13% away. Under 2.5 goals (55%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves Sheriff Tiraspol with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; NK Aluminij has piled up 2-3-5 in the same span.
| Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | NK Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 25% | 12% |
| Market | 63% | 23% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sheriff Tiraspol (rating 1560 vs 1457).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sheriff Tiraspol | NK Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5 | 1.4 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sheriff Tiraspol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
NK Aluminij
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Partizan Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | FC Noah Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/06 | Pyunik Yerevan Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | NK Race Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/04 | NK Bravo Slovenia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sheriff Tiraspol vs NK Aluminij?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sheriff Tiraspol win (63%). Probabilities: Sheriff Tiraspol 63%, draw 24%, NK Aluminij 13%.
How many goals are expected in Sheriff Tiraspol vs NK Aluminij?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Sheriff Tiraspol 1.74 · NK Aluminij 0.64), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sheriff Tiraspol vs NK Aluminij?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.