Prediction: Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma
Expected goals: 2.2 (Penybont 0.87 · FC Santa Coloma 1.34). The model gives 24% home, 28% draw, 48% away. Under 2.25 goals (52%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Penybont is 2-2-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FC Santa Coloma 5-2-3 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Penybont won 0 and FC Santa Coloma 0, with 2 draws.
| Penybont | Draw | FC Santa Coloma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 31% | 46% |
| Market | 26% | 26% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Santa Coloma (rating 1466 vs 1514).
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Penybont | FC Santa Coloma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.7 | 2.8 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 7.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Penybont 0–2–0 FC Santa Coloma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/23 UEFA Conference League Qualifying | FC Santa Coloma | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Penybont |
| 13/07/23 UEFA Conference League Qualifying | Penybont | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Santa Coloma |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Penybont
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Trethomas Bluebirds AFC UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 21/03 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 03/03 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 21/02 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
FC Santa Coloma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 30/04 | UE Santa Coloma Andorra Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 13 | D |
| 25/04 | UE Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 21/03 | Penya Encarnada Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/03 | FC Rangers Andorra Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 13 | W |
| 08/03 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 12 | W |
| 01/03 | CE Carroi Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Santa Coloma win (48%). Probabilities: Penybont 24%, draw 28%, FC Santa Coloma 48%.
How many goals are expected in Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Penybont 0.87 · FC Santa Coloma 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.