Prediction: Velez Mostar vs FC Milsami
Expected goals: 2.57 (Velez Mostar 1.56 · FC Milsami 1.01). The model gives 49% home, 28% draw, 24% away. Over 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Velez Mostar sits at 3-4-3 (W-D-L), while FC Milsami arrives on a 1-3-6 run.
| Velez Mostar | Draw | FC Milsami | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Velez Mostar (rating 1495 vs 1444).
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Velez Mostar | FC Milsami | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 0.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 2.9 | 1.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Velez Mostar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
3-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 21/04 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
FC Milsami
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-2 | 0-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/04 | CF Sparta Selemet Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Velez Mostar vs FC Milsami?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Velez Mostar win (49%). Probabilities: Velez Mostar 49%, draw 28%, FC Milsami 24%.
How many goals are expected in Velez Mostar vs FC Milsami?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Velez Mostar 1.56 · FC Milsami 1.01), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Velez Mostar vs FC Milsami?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.