Prediction: Tre Fiori vs Larne FC
Expected goals: 2.56 (Tre Fiori 0.58 · Larne FC 1.99). The model gives 10% home, 19% draw, 71% away. Under 3 goals (57%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-2.
Over its last 10 matches, Tre Fiori sits at 6-3-1 (W-D-L), while Larne FC arrives on a 5-4-1 run.
| Tre Fiori | Draw | Larne FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 21% | 70% |
| Market | 11% | 18% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tre Fiori | Larne FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 1.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 4 | 1.9 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tre Fiori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | La Fiorita San Marino Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Pennarossa San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 19/04 | SC Faetano San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | AC Libertas San Marino Campionato |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/04 | SS Murata San Marino Campionato |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 18/03 | SS Virtus San Marino Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/03 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
4-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/03 | SP Cailungo San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/03 | SS Virtus San Marino Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
Larne FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Charity Shield |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/06 | HW Welders UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Stranraer UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
3-0 | 8-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 20/03 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tre Fiori vs Larne FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Larne FC win (71%). Probabilities: Tre Fiori 10%, draw 19%, Larne FC 71%.
How many goals are expected in Tre Fiori vs Larne FC?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Tre Fiori 0.58 · Larne FC 1.99), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Tre Fiori vs Larne FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.