Prediction: AC d'Escaldes vs FK Mornar Bar

Expected goals: 2.21 (AC d'Escaldes 1.35 · FK Mornar Bar 0.85). The model gives 49% home, 28% draw, 24% away. Under 2.25 goals (51%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, AC d'Escaldes sits at 6-2-2 (W-D-L), while FK Mornar Bar arrives on a 6-4-0 run.

49%1
49% 28% 24%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC d'Escaldes 1547 · FK Mornar Bar 1572
AC d'EscaldesDrawFK Mornar Bar
Our model47%30%22%
Market50%26%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.21AC d'Escaldes 1.35 · FK Mornar Bar 0.85
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 51%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC d'EscaldesFK Mornar Bar
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 11.2 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.40.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.9 / 5.92.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.7 / 0.23 / 0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC d'Escaldes

WDWDLWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/05 FC Santa Coloma
Andorra Cup
1-1 3-2 56 W
17/05 Penya Encarnada
Andorra Premier Division
2-0 2-0 94 W
10/05 Inter Club d'Escaldes
Andorra Premier Division
1-1 1-3 37 L
30/04 Inter Club d'Escaldes
Andorra Cup
1-1 2-1 39 W
26/04 CE Carroi
Andorra Premier Division
1-0 3-0 55 W
11/04 FC Rangers
Andorra Premier Division
0-1 1-3 712 L
22/03 FC Ordino
Andorra Premier Division
0-0 0-0 103 D
11/03 CF Esperança d'Andorra
Andorra Cup
3-0 5-0 106 W
08/03 UE Santa Coloma
Andorra Premier Division
0-0 0-0 211 D
28/02 CF Esperança d'Andorra
Andorra Premier Division
1-0 2-1 56 W

FK Mornar Bar

WWDDDWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 OFK Petrovac
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 42 D
01/07 FK Zemun
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-1 23 W
24/06 Sutjeska Niksic
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 22 W
28/05 FK Decic Tuzi
Montenegro Cup
0-0 1-0 74 W
24/05 FK Jezero
Montenegro Prva Liga
1-0 2-0 71 W
20/05 OFK Petrovac
Montenegro Prva Liga
0-0 1-1 14 D
16/05 Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro Prva Liga
0-0 0-0 74 D
10/05 FK Bokelj
Montenegro Prva Liga
0-0 0-0 D
06/05 FK Jezero
Montenegro Cup
2-0 2-1 42 W
02/05 FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje
Montenegro Prva Liga
1-0 3-0 35 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC d'Escaldes vs FK Mornar Bar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC d'Escaldes win (49%). Probabilities: AC d'Escaldes 49%, draw 28%, FK Mornar Bar 24%.

How many goals are expected in AC d'Escaldes vs FK Mornar Bar?

The model expects 2.21 goals (AC d'Escaldes 1.35 · FK Mornar Bar 0.85), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AC d'Escaldes vs FK Mornar Bar?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.