Prediction: FK Liepaja vs FK Decic Tuzi

Expected goals: 2.51 (FK Liepaja 1.43 · FK Decic Tuzi 1.08). The model gives 44% home, 29% draw, 27% away. Over 2.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves FK Liepaja with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; FK Decic Tuzi has piled up 4-2-4 in the same span.

44%1
44% 29% 27%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Liepaja 1482 · FK Decic Tuzi 1502
FK LiepajaDrawFK Decic Tuzi
Our model44%29%27%
Market44%29%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.51FK Liepaja 1.43 · FK Decic Tuzi 1.08
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK LiepajaFK Decic Tuzi
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.61.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.90.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 6.31.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.21.9 / 0.1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Liepaja

WLDWWLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 1-3 71 L
30/06 Ogre United
Latvia Virsliga
3-0 4-0 83 W
26/06 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-2 17 L
21/06 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
0-3 0-4 40 L
16/06 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 0-1 125 L
12/06 SK Super Nova
Latvia Virsliga
2-1 2-1 27 W
30/05 Tukums 2000
Latvia Virsliga
2-0 3-0 85 W
26/05 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 1-1 115 D
22/05 FK Auda
Latvia Virsliga
0-2 1-3 44 L
17/05 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
1-0 2-1 63 W

FK Decic Tuzi

DWWLLLLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 FK Arsenal
Europe Friendlies
1-1 4-1 102 W
27/06 AF Elbasani
Club Friendly List
3-0 3-0 W
17/06 Vllaznia Shkoder
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 21 D
28/05 FK Mornar Bar
Montenegro Cup
0-0 0-1 24 L
24/05 FK Bokelj
Montenegro Prva Liga
0-0 0-1 10 L
20/05 FK Arsenal
Montenegro Prva Liga
0-0 1-2 51 L
16/05 Sutjeska Niksic
Montenegro Prva Liga
0-1 0-3 54 L
10/05 FK Jezero
Montenegro Prva Liga
1-0 3-0 61 W
06/05 Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Montenegro Cup
0-0 1-0 62 W
02/05 OFK Petrovac
Montenegro Prva Liga
1-0 1-1 43 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Liepaja vs FK Decic Tuzi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Liepaja win (44%). Probabilities: FK Liepaja 44%, draw 29%, FK Decic Tuzi 27%.

How many goals are expected in FK Liepaja vs FK Decic Tuzi?

The model expects 2.51 goals (FK Liepaja 1.43 · FK Decic Tuzi 1.08), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Liepaja vs FK Decic Tuzi?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.