Prediction: FK Liepaja vs FK Decic Tuzi
Expected goals: 2.51 (FK Liepaja 1.43 · FK Decic Tuzi 1.08). The model gives 44% home, 29% draw, 27% away. Over 2.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves FK Liepaja with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; FK Decic Tuzi has piled up 4-2-4 in the same span.
| FK Liepaja | Draw | FK Decic Tuzi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Liepaja | FK Decic Tuzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.3 | 1.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Liepaja
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 30/06 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/06 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 26/05 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
FK Decic Tuzi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FK Arsenal Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | AF Elbasani Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/06 | Vllaznia Shkoder Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 28/05 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Liepaja vs FK Decic Tuzi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Liepaja win (44%). Probabilities: FK Liepaja 44%, draw 29%, FK Decic Tuzi 27%.
How many goals are expected in FK Liepaja vs FK Decic Tuzi?
The model expects 2.51 goals (FK Liepaja 1.43 · FK Decic Tuzi 1.08), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Liepaja vs FK Decic Tuzi?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

