Prediction: FK Qarabag vs IF Vestri
Expected goals: 3.59 (FK Qarabag 2.79 · IF Vestri 0.79). The model gives 80% home, 13% draw, 6% away. Under 3.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves FK Qarabag with 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; IF Vestri has piled up 5-2-3 in the same span.
| FK Qarabag | Draw | IF Vestri | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 82% | 12% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Qarabag | IF Vestri | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 2.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Qarabag
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Ferencvarosi TC Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 01/07 | FC Kharkiv Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | FK Sumqayit Azerbaijan Premier League |
2-0 | 4-3 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Imisli Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | FK Gabala Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | PFK Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
3-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Sabah Azerbaijan Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
IF Vestri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Qarabag vs IF Vestri?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Qarabag win (80%). Probabilities: FK Qarabag 80%, draw 13%, IF Vestri 6%.
How many goals are expected in FK Qarabag vs IF Vestri?
The model expects 3.59 goals (FK Qarabag 2.79 · IF Vestri 0.79), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Qarabag vs IF Vestri?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.