Prediction: Alashkert FC vs FC Elimai Semey
Expected goals: 2.79 (Alashkert FC 1.67 · FC Elimai Semey 1.12). The model gives 49% home, 27% draw, 24% away. Over 2.25 goals (56%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Alashkert FC is 6-3-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FC Elimai Semey 4-1-5 over its own.
| Alashkert FC | Draw | FC Elimai Semey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alashkert FC (rating 1565 vs 1490).
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alashkert FC | FC Elimai Semey | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 4.1 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alashkert FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Van Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | FC Urartu Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 14/04 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
3-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 21/03 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
FC Elimai Semey
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/04 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alashkert FC vs FC Elimai Semey?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alashkert FC win (49%). Probabilities: Alashkert FC 49%, draw 27%, FC Elimai Semey 24%.
How many goals are expected in Alashkert FC vs FC Elimai Semey?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Alashkert FC 1.67 · FC Elimai Semey 1.12), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Alashkert FC vs FC Elimai Semey?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.