Prediction: OFK Petrovac vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Expected goals: 2.28 (OFK Petrovac 1.12 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.15). The model gives 35% home, 29% draw, 36% away. Under 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves OFK Petrovac with 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; FK Zalgiris Vilnius has piled up 5-2-3 in the same span.
| OFK Petrovac | Draw | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 31% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius (rating 1483 vs 1530).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| OFK Petrovac | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.5 | 2.7 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
OFK Petrovac
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | FK Mornar Bar Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | FK Macva Sabac Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 16/06 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 06/05 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in OFK Petrovac vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Zalgiris Vilnius win (36%). Probabilities: OFK Petrovac 35%, draw 29%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 36%.
How many goals are expected in OFK Petrovac vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
The model expects 2.28 goals (OFK Petrovac 1.12 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.15), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in OFK Petrovac vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.