Prediction: US Mondorf-Les-Bains vs Dinamo Tbilisi

Expected goals: 2.73 (US Mondorf-Les-Bains 0.84 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1.89). The model gives 17% home, 21% draw, 63% away. Under 3 goals (57%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 0-2.

Over its last 10 matches, US Mondorf-Les-Bains sits at 5-3-2 (W-D-L), while Dinamo Tbilisi arrives on a 5-2-3 run.

63%2
17% 21% 63%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Mondorf-Les-Bains 1533 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1531
US Mondorf-Les-BainsDrawDinamo Tbilisi
Our model15%24%61%
Market18%18%64%
Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.73US Mondorf-Les-Bains 0.84 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1.89
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 57%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US Mondorf-Les-BainsDinamo Tbilisi
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.71.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.33.1 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.23.5 / 0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Mondorf-Les-Bains

WWDDWWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Residence Walferdange
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-2 130 L
23/05 UNA Strassen
Luxembourg Division Nationale
0-0 0-0 00 D
17/05 UT Petange
Luxembourg Division Nationale
1-0 1-0 47 W
10/05 Victoria Rosport
Luxembourg Division Nationale
0-1 0-1 43 L
03/05 Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg Division Nationale
0-0 1-0 W
26/04 US Hostert
Luxembourg Division Nationale
2-0 4-0 W
19/04 F91 Dudelange
Luxembourg Division Nationale
0-1 1-1 29 D
12/04 Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg Division Nationale
0-1 1-1 D
04/04 FC 03 Differdange
Luxembourg Division Nationale
0-1 2-1 W
22/03 Jeunesse Canach
Luxembourg Division Nationale
1-0 3-1 32 W

Dinamo Tbilisi

WWDLWLWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 Dila Gori
Georgia Super Cup
0-0 0-0 36 D
27/06 FC Iberia 1999
Georgia Super Cup
0-1 0-1 96 L
23/06 Dinamo Batumi
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-1 2-1 92 W
18/06 Samgurali
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
2-2 5-3 23 W
14/06 FC Gagra
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-2 1-2 130 L
30/05 Meshakhte Tkibuli
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
3-0 6-1 76 W
24/05 Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-0 0-1 90 L
20/05 Dila Gori
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-0 0-0 57 D
16/05 FC Iberia 1999
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
2-0 2-0 54 W
11/05 FC Rustavi
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
2-2 3-2 81 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Mondorf-Les-Bains vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dinamo Tbilisi win (63%). Probabilities: US Mondorf-Les-Bains 17%, draw 21%, Dinamo Tbilisi 63%.

How many goals are expected in US Mondorf-Les-Bains vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

The model expects 2.73 goals (US Mondorf-Les-Bains 0.84 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1.89), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in US Mondorf-Les-Bains vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.