Prediction: AF Elbasani vs BATE Borisov
Expected goals: 2.73 (AF Elbasani 1.71 · BATE Borisov 1.02). The model gives 52% home, 26% draw, 22% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, AF Elbasani is 4-1-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and BATE Borisov 1-6-3 over its own.
| AF Elbasani | Draw | BATE Borisov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AF Elbasani | BATE Borisov | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 5.7 | – / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AF Elbasani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FK Decic Tuzi Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Dinamo City Albania Championship |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | FK Egnatia Albania Championship |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 10/05 | KF Tirana Albania Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/05 | Bylis Ballsh Albania Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | FK Vora Albania Championship |
0-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/04 | Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 22/04 | FK Egnatia Albania Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 18/04 | Teuta Durres Albania Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
BATE Borisov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 17/06 | FC Molodechno-Dyussh-4 Belarus Cup |
3-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 20/05 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AF Elbasani vs BATE Borisov?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AF Elbasani win (52%). Probabilities: AF Elbasani 52%, draw 26%, BATE Borisov 22%.
How many goals are expected in AF Elbasani vs BATE Borisov?
The model expects 2.73 goals (AF Elbasani 1.71 · BATE Borisov 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AF Elbasani vs BATE Borisov?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.