Prediction: Europa FC vs Shkendija Tetovo

Expected goals: 2.98 (Europa FC 0.7 · Shkendija Tetovo 2.29). The model gives 9% home, 17% draw, 73% away. Under 3.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 0-2.

On recent form, Europa FC is 6-2-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Shkendija Tetovo 4-2-4 over its own.

73%2
9% 17% 73%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Europa FC 1564 · Shkendija Tetovo 1497
Europa FCDrawShkendija Tetovo
Our model9%19%73%
Market10%16%74%
Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.98Europa FC 0.7 · Shkendija Tetovo 2.29
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 55%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Europa FC (rating 1564 vs 1497).
  • High corners: 14.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 13.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Europa FCShkendija Tetovo
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 0.51.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 00.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)100/0/0%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)– / 93.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)8 / 05.6 / 0.2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Europa FC

LWDWWWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/04 Mons Calpe SC
Gibraltar National League
1-0 4-1 98 W
18/04 Lincoln Red Imps FC
Gibraltar National League
0-2 L
11/04 St Joseph's FC
Gibraltar National League
0-0 D
04/04 Lions Gibraltar
Gibraltar National League
3-0 W
22/03 Lynx FC
Gibraltar National League
3-1 W
02/03 Manchester 62 FC
Gibraltar National League
5-0 W
22/02 FC Hound Dogs
Gibraltar National League
6-0 W
12/02 Lincoln Red Imps FC
Gibraltar National League
0-0 D
07/02 College 1975 FC
Gibraltar National League
1-0 W
31/01 Lynx FC
Gibraltar Cup
0-1 L

Shkendija Tetovo

DWWWLLWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/06 FC Zorya Lugansk
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-2 64 D
27/06 NK Celje
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 97 L
23/06 Hajduk Split
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-4 31 L
19/06 FC Koper
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-1 63 W
23/05 Vardar Skopje
North Macedonia First League
0-2 0-3 99 L
20/05 FK Sileks
North Macedonia Cup
0-0 0-1 58 L
15/05 AP Brera Strumica
North Macedonia First League
0-0 2-1 74 W
09/05 FC Struga Trim & Lum
North Macedonia First League
2-1 3-1 46 W
06/05 KF Shkendija Haracine
North Macedonia Cup
0-0 2-0 49 W
01/05 FK Sileks
North Macedonia First League
1-0 1-1 27 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Europa FC vs Shkendija Tetovo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shkendija Tetovo win (73%). Probabilities: Europa FC 9%, draw 17%, Shkendija Tetovo 73%.

How many goals are expected in Europa FC vs Shkendija Tetovo?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Europa FC 0.7 · Shkendija Tetovo 2.29), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Europa FC vs Shkendija Tetovo?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.