Prediction: Dila Gori vs SS Virtus
Expected goals: 2.78 (Dila Gori 2.07 · SS Virtus 0.71). The model gives 68% home, 21% draw, 11% away. Over 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 2-0.
On recent form, Dila Gori is 3-2-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and SS Virtus 7-2-1 over its own.
| Dila Gori | Draw | SS Virtus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 21% | 11% |
| Market | 68% | 22% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SS Virtus (rating 1480 vs 1565).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dila Gori | SS Virtus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 2.3 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dila Gori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Super Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Super Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 15/05 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
SS Virtus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/05 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | AC Libertas San Marino Campionato |
4-0 | 9-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | SP Cailungo San Marino Campionato |
2-1 | 6-1 | 16 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | SS Murata San Marino Campionato |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/04 | Tre Penne San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 22/03 | SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dila Gori vs SS Virtus?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dila Gori win (68%). Probabilities: Dila Gori 68%, draw 21%, SS Virtus 11%.
How many goals are expected in Dila Gori vs SS Virtus?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Dila Gori 2.07 · SS Virtus 0.71), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dila Gori vs SS Virtus?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.