Prediction: Zira IK vs Torpedo Kutaisi

Expected goals: 2.59 (Zira IK 1.73 · Torpedo Kutaisi 0.87). The model gives 58% home, 23% draw, 19% away. Under 2.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Zira IK with 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Torpedo Kutaisi has piled up 4-3-3 in the same span.

58%1
58% 23% 19%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zira IK 1500 · Torpedo Kutaisi 1516
Zira IKDrawTorpedo Kutaisi
Our model57%26%18%
Market59%21%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.59Zira IK 1.73 · Torpedo Kutaisi 0.87
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 55%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Zira IKTorpedo Kutaisi
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.11.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 4.21.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.13.9 / 0.3

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zira IK

DDDDDWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/05 Araz FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-2 2-3 73 L
17/05 FK Sumqayit
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-1 2-1 113 W
13/05 Sabah
Azerbaijan Cup
1-0 1-2 36 L
08/05 Imisli
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-0 23 D
03/05 FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-0 83 W
27/04 PFK Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 1-1 32 D
21/04 PFK Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Cup
0-0 0-0 16 D
17/04 Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-1 47 D
11/04 Sabah
Azerbaijan Premier League
2-1 2-2 14 D
07/04 Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-1 25 D

Torpedo Kutaisi

DWWWLLLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 FC Iberia 1999
Georgia Super Cup
2-1 2-2 04 D
27/06 Dila Gori
Georgia Super Cup
0-0 1-0 35 W
22/06 FC Spaeri
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-0 0-0 73 D
17/06 Dinamo Batumi
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
1-2 2-3 63 L
13/06 Samgurali
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-1 1-2 58 L
28/05 FC Gagra
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
1-2 1-2 104 L
24/05 Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-0 1-0 10 W
20/05 Meshakhte Tkibuli
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-0 4-1 54 W
15/05 Dila Gori
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-0 2-1 54 W
10/05 FC Iberia 1999
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
1-1 1-1 57 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zira IK vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zira IK win (58%). Probabilities: Zira IK 58%, draw 23%, Torpedo Kutaisi 19%.

How many goals are expected in Zira IK vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Zira IK 1.73 · Torpedo Kutaisi 0.87), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Zira IK vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.