Prediction: Bohemians Dublin vs St Joseph's FC
Expected goals: 3.12 (Bohemians Dublin 2.41 · St Joseph's FC 0.71). The model gives 74% home, 17% draw, 9% away. Under 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 2-0.
On recent form, Bohemians Dublin is 7-0-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and St Joseph's FC 4-2-4 over its own.
| Bohemians Dublin | Draw | St Joseph's FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 17% | 8% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bohemians Dublin (rating 1559 vs 1510).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bohemians Dublin | St Joseph's FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 1.5 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 100/0/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.7 | – / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 1.5 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bohemians Dublin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/06 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 19/06 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
St Joseph's FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Lions Gibraltar Gibraltar National League |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Mons Calpe SC Gibraltar National League |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Europa FC Gibraltar National League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/04 | Lynx FC Gibraltar National League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Lincoln Red Imps FC Gibraltar National League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/02 | Lynx FC Gibraltar National League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/02 | Lions Gibraltar Gibraltar National League |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/02 | Lincoln Red Imps FC Gibraltar Cup |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/01 | FC Hound Dogs Gibraltar National League |
1-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/01 | Glacis United FC Gibraltar National League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bohemians Dublin vs St Joseph's FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bohemians Dublin win (74%). Probabilities: Bohemians Dublin 74%, draw 17%, St Joseph's FC 9%.
How many goals are expected in Bohemians Dublin vs St Joseph's FC?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Bohemians Dublin 2.41 · St Joseph's FC 0.71), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bohemians Dublin vs St Joseph's FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.