Prediction: JK Nomme Kalju vs Linfield
Expected goals: 2.5 (JK Nomme Kalju 1.52 · Linfield 0.98). The model gives 49% home, 27% draw, 24% away. Under 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves JK Nomme Kalju with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Linfield has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span.
| JK Nomme Kalju | Draw | Linfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Nomme Kalju (rating 1516 vs 1464).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JK Nomme Kalju | Linfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.6 | 2.7 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JK Nomme Kalju
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
3-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 30/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
Linfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Kilmarnock UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 20/03 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/03 | Glentoran Northern Ireland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/03 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JK Nomme Kalju vs Linfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Nomme Kalju win (49%). Probabilities: JK Nomme Kalju 49%, draw 27%, Linfield 24%.
How many goals are expected in JK Nomme Kalju vs Linfield?
The model expects 2.5 goals (JK Nomme Kalju 1.52 · Linfield 0.98), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in JK Nomme Kalju vs Linfield?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.