Prediction: Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide Linnameeskond

Expected goals: 2.8 (Hegelmann Litauen 1.35 · Paide Linnameeskond 1.45). The model gives 34% home, 27% draw, 39% away. Over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Hegelmann Litauen sits at 2-5-3 (W-D-L), while Paide Linnameeskond arrives on a 4-3-3 run.

39%2
34% 27% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hegelmann Litauen 1489 · Paide Linnameeskond 1514
Hegelmann LitauenDrawPaide Linnameeskond
Our model34%28%39%
Market34%27%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.8Hegelmann Litauen 1.35 · Paide Linnameeskond 1.45
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hegelmann LitauenPaide Linnameeskond
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.51.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.82.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.24 / 0.3

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hegelmann Litauen

WDDLWLDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Panevezys
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 1-1 32 D
28/06 Banga Gargzdai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-2 63 L
17/06 FK Dziugas Telsiai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 1-1 56 D
14/06 FK Kauno Zalgiris
Lithuania A Lyga
1-1 1-1 84 D
29/05 FK Transinvest
Lithuania A Lyga
0-2 1-2 63 L
24/05 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Lithuania A Lyga
2-1 3-1 36 W
20/05 FK Transinvest
Lithuania Cup
0-0 0-2 15 L
16/05 Suduva Marijampole
Lithuania A Lyga
1-1 2-2 34 D
09/05 FK Siauliai
Lithuania A Lyga
1-1 1-1 83 D
06/05 Panevezys
Lithuania A Lyga
2-1 3-2 56 W

Paide Linnameeskond

WLLLDDWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Parnu JK Vaprus
Estonia Meistriliiga
2-1 3-1 64 W
28/06 JK Nomme Kalju
Estonia Meistriliiga
0-0 1-1 33 D
21/06 FC Flora Tallinn
Estonia Meistriliiga
1-1 2-1 74 W
17/06 Harju JK Laagri
Estonia Meistriliiga
1-0 1-0 73 W
14/06 JK Nomme Kalju
Estonia Meistriliiga
0-1 1-1 410 D
31/05 FC Kuressaare
Estonia Meistriliiga
1-0 1-1 33 D
23/05 FC Flora Tallinn
Estonia Cup
0-2 1-5 22 L
20/05 JK Trans Narva
Estonia Meistriliiga
0-0 0-1 45 L
17/05 FC Levadia Tallinn
Estonia Meistriliiga
1-3 1-3 25 L
10/05 JK Nomme United
Estonia Meistriliiga
2-0 3-2 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide Linnameeskond?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Paide Linnameeskond win (39%). Probabilities: Hegelmann Litauen 34%, draw 27%, Paide Linnameeskond 39%.

How many goals are expected in Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide Linnameeskond?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Hegelmann Litauen 1.35 · Paide Linnameeskond 1.45), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide Linnameeskond?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.