Prediction: Caernarfon Town vs FC Levadia Tallinn
Expected goals: 3.64 (Caernarfon Town 1.51 · FC Levadia Tallinn 2.13). The model gives 25% home, 24% draw, 50% away. Over 3.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Caernarfon Town is 6-0-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FC Levadia Tallinn 8-1-1 over its own.
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | FC Levadia Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 23% | 51% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Levadia Tallinn (rating 1531 vs 1606).
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Caernarfon Town | FC Levadia Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 3.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 1.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.3 | 4.8 / 8.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caernarfon Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Glentoran Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Flint Town Utd Wales Cup |
3-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/03 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/03 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/03 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 08/03 | Rhyl Wales Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 27/02 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 20/02 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
FC Levadia Tallinn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
4-1 | 6-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
3-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
4-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caernarfon Town vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Levadia Tallinn win (50%). Probabilities: Caernarfon Town 25%, draw 24%, FC Levadia Tallinn 50%.
How many goals are expected in Caernarfon Town vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
The model expects 3.64 goals (Caernarfon Town 1.51 · FC Levadia Tallinn 2.13), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Caernarfon Town vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.