Prediction: FC Dinamo City vs FC Astana

Expected goals: 2.51 (FC Dinamo City 1.02 · FC Astana 1.49). The model gives 25% home, 27% draw, 47% away. Over 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, FC Dinamo City sits at 5-2-3 (W-D-L), while FC Astana arrives on a 4-2-4 run.

47%2
25% 27% 47%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Dinamo City 1521 · FC Astana 1505
FC Dinamo CityDrawFC Astana
Our model25%29%47%
Market26%27%48%
Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.51FC Dinamo City 1.02 · FC Astana 1.49
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Dinamo CityFC Astana
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.51.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.80.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.32.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.93.8 / 0.5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Dinamo City

WDLWWLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 FC Struga Trim & Lum
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 D
27/06 FC Struga Trim & Lum
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-2 52 W
23/06 FK Sileks
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-1 W
31/05 FK Egnatia
Albania Championship
0-2 0-2 28 L
24/05 AF Elbasani
Albania Championship
0-3 0-3 15 L
16/05 Vllaznia Shkoder
Albania Championship
0-0 2-0 33 W
13/05 FK Egnatia
Albania Cup
2-0 3-2 58 W
10/05 Partizani Tirana
Albania Championship
0-2 1-2 64 L
06/05 FK Vora
Albania Championship
2-0 2-2 D
02/05 FK Egnatia
Albania Championship
2-0 2-0 16 W

FC Astana

LLWLWDWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 FK Zhenys
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-0 1-0 94 W
28/06 FK Zhenys
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-0 2-2 19 D
21/06 FK Aktobe
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-1 0-2 46 L
14/06 Irtysh Pavlodar
Kazakhstan Premier League
2-0 2-0 62 W
27/05 FC Altai Semey
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 1-1 32 D
22/05 FK Ulytau
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-0 3-0 63 W
16/05 Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-1 0-1 83 L
09/05 FK Kyzylzhar
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 2-1 54 W
03/05 FK Kaspyi Aktau
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 0-1 65 L
29/04 Tobol Kostanay
Kazakhstan Cup
0-1 1-2 85 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Dinamo City vs FC Astana?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Astana win (47%). Probabilities: FC Dinamo City 25%, draw 27%, FC Astana 47%.

How many goals are expected in FC Dinamo City vs FC Astana?

The model expects 2.51 goals (FC Dinamo City 1.02 · FC Astana 1.49), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Dinamo City vs FC Astana?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.