Prediction: FC 03 Differdange vs FC Ilves
Expected goals: 2.9 (FC 03 Differdange 1.3 · FC Ilves 1.59). The model gives 31% home, 26% draw, 44% away. Under 3 goals (54%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, FC 03 Differdange sits at 6-3-1 (W-D-L), while FC Ilves arrives on a 5-1-4 run.
| FC 03 Differdange | Draw | FC Ilves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 27% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC 03 Differdange | FC Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.6 | 2.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.8 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC 03 Differdange
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | F91 Dudelange Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | UNA Strassen Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 29/05 | Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | FC Rodange Luxembourg Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 18 | 8 | D |
| 08/05 | Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 03/05 | UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | UT Petange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
FC Ilves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 01/07 | HJK Helsinki Finland Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/06 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
4-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | FC Lahti Finland Cup |
4-2 | 5-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 30/05 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | TPS Finland Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC 03 Differdange vs FC Ilves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Ilves win (44%). Probabilities: FC 03 Differdange 31%, draw 26%, FC Ilves 44%.
How many goals are expected in FC 03 Differdange vs FC Ilves?
The model expects 2.9 goals (FC 03 Differdange 1.3 · FC Ilves 1.59), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC 03 Differdange vs FC Ilves?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.