Prediction: Connah's Quay vs KF Ballkani

Expected goals: 2.86 (Connah's Quay 0.95 · KF Ballkani 1.91). The model gives 18% home, 23% draw, 59% away. Over 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Connah's Quay with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; KF Ballkani has piled up 4-0-6 in the same span.

59%2
18% 23% 59%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Connah's Quay 1508 · KF Ballkani 1471
Connah's QuayDrawKF Ballkani
Our model17%24%59%
Market18%22%60%
Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.86Connah's Quay 0.95 · KF Ballkani 1.91
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Connah's QuayKF Ballkani
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.11.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.31.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.13.8 / 0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Connah's Quay

DDLLWWDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Queen of South
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-0 41 W
18/04 Colwyn Bay
Wales Premier League
1-1 1-1 58 D
03/04 T.N.S.
Wales Premier League
0-0 1-2 15 L
29/03 Barry Town
Wales Premier League
0-1 1-1 73 D
21/03 Penybont
Wales Premier League
1-0 2-1 04 W
13/03 Caernarfon Town
Wales Premier League
2-1 4-2 66 W
03/03 T.N.S.
Wales Premier League
0-0 1-2 46 L
21/02 Barry Town
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-1 53 L
14/02 Penybont
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-0 83 D
06/02 Caernarfon Town
Wales Premier League
1-0 1-1 35 D

KF Ballkani

LWWLLWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Botev Plovdiv
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-2 10 L
24/06 FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-0 123 W
31/05 KF Dukagjini
Kosovo Superliga
0-1 L
24/05 FC Prishtina
Kosovo Superliga
1-2 L
17/05 KF Prishtina e Re
Kosovo Superliga
3-2 W
09/05 KF Drita
Kosovo Superliga
0-1 0-2 37 L
03/05 KF Llapi
Kosovo Superliga
0-1 L
30/04 KF Drenica Skenderaj
Kosovo Superliga
2-1 W
26/04 KF Ferizaj
Kosovo Superliga
1-0 3-0 35 W
22/04 KF Dukagjini
Kosovo Cup
1-1 2-3 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Connah's Quay vs KF Ballkani?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KF Ballkani win (59%). Probabilities: Connah's Quay 18%, draw 23%, KF Ballkani 59%.

How many goals are expected in Connah's Quay vs KF Ballkani?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Connah's Quay 0.95 · KF Ballkani 1.91), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Connah's Quay vs KF Ballkani?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.