Prediction: Marsaxlokk FC vs Pyunik Yerevan

Expected goals: 2.5 (Marsaxlokk FC 1.07 · Pyunik Yerevan 1.43). The model gives 27% home, 28% draw, 45% away. Over 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Marsaxlokk FC is 5-3-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Pyunik Yerevan 4-3-3 over its own.

45%2
27% 28% 45%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marsaxlokk FC 1522 · Pyunik Yerevan 1527
Marsaxlokk FCDrawPyunik Yerevan
Our model27%29%44%
Market28%28%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.5Marsaxlokk FC 1.07 · Pyunik Yerevan 1.43
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 13 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Marsaxlokk FCPyunik Yerevan
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.41 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.60.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 6.12.5 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.34.1 / 0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marsaxlokk FC

WDDWLWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/05 Floriana
Malta Premier League
1-0 1-2 26 L
09/05 Hamrun Spartans
Malta Premier League
1-0 1-1 38 D
02/05 Naxxar Lions
Malta Premier League
2-1 3-2 40 W
26/04 Valletta
Malta Premier League
1-0 1-0 63 W
19/04 Gzira United
Malta Premier League
0-0 2-1 45 W
15/04 Floriana
Malta Premier League
1-2 1-3 84 L
11/04 Hamrun Spartans
Malta Premier League
2-1 3-2 66 W
14/03 Valletta
Malta Premier League
0-0 1-1 58 D
08/03 Naxxar Lions
Malta Premier League
0-1 1-1 155 D
28/02 Mosta FC
Malta Premier League
2-1 2-1 83 W

Pyunik Yerevan

LWDLWWDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 CS Corvinul Hunedoara
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-2 54 L
23/06 NK Aluminij
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-2 52 D
27/05 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
1-1 2-1 72 W
23/05 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-0 D
18/05 Gandzasar Kapan
Armenia Premier League
1-0 2-0 71 W
09/05 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
1-0 2-0 124 W
06/05 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
0-1 0-1 61 L
03/05 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-0 411 D
23/04 FC Urartu
Armenia Premier League
1-0 2-1 83 W
18/04 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-1 89 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marsaxlokk FC vs Pyunik Yerevan?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pyunik Yerevan win (45%). Probabilities: Marsaxlokk FC 27%, draw 28%, Pyunik Yerevan 45%.

How many goals are expected in Marsaxlokk FC vs Pyunik Yerevan?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Marsaxlokk FC 1.07 · Pyunik Yerevan 1.43), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Marsaxlokk FC vs Pyunik Yerevan?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.