Prediction: Glentoran vs RFS
Expected goals: 3.01 (Glentoran 1.16 · RFS 1.85). The model gives 23% home, 24% draw, 53% away. Under 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Glentoran with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; RFS has piled up 8-1-1 in the same span.
| Glentoran | Draw | RFS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 25% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 24% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RFS (rating 1496 vs 1591).
- High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Glentoran | RFS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.7 | 2.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.7 | 2.8 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Glentoran
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Kilmarnock UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 26/06 | East Belfast Club Friendly List |
5-0 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | T.N.S. UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Caernarfon Town Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 17/04 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
RFS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/06 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 22/06 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 13/06 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 29/05 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 15 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Glentoran vs RFS?
According to our model, the most likely result is an RFS win (53%). Probabilities: Glentoran 23%, draw 24%, RFS 53%.
How many goals are expected in Glentoran vs RFS?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Glentoran 1.16 · RFS 1.85), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Glentoran vs RFS?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

