Prediction: Glentoran vs RFS

Expected goals: 3.01 (Glentoran 1.16 · RFS 1.85). The model gives 23% home, 24% draw, 53% away. Under 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Glentoran with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; RFS has piled up 8-1-1 in the same span.

53%2
23% 24% 53%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Glentoran 1496 · RFS 1591
GlentoranDrawRFS
Our model23%25%53%
Market23%24%53%
Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.01Glentoran 1.16 · RFS 1.85
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 53%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RFS (rating 1496 vs 1591).
  • High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GlentoranRFS
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.72.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.81.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 6.72.8 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.4 / 0.13.9 / 0.2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Glentoran

DDWWDLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 Kilmarnock
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-4 80 L
26/06 East Belfast
Club Friendly List
5-0 8-1 W
24/06 T.N.S.
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-1 60 D
20/06 Caernarfon Town
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 80 L
25/04 Coleraine
Northern Ireland Premier
0-2 2-6 20 L
17/04 Larne FC
Northern Ireland Premier
0-0 0-0 84 D
11/04 Dungannon Swifts
Northern Ireland Premier
3-0 5-0 93 W
07/04 Cliftonville
Northern Ireland Premier
2-0 2-1 34 W
28/03 Linfield
Northern Ireland Premier
0-1 1-1 82 D
21/03 Coleraine
Northern Ireland Premier
0-1 1-1 81 D

RFS

WWWWWLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 FK Auda
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 1-1 34 D
30/06 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
1-0 3-1 43 W
26/06 FK Liepaja
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 2-0 47 W
22/06 Ogre United
Latvia Virsliga
3-0 6-0 84 W
17/06 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
0-2 1-2 19 L
13/06 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
2-0 3-1 40 W
29/05 SK Super Nova
Latvia Virsliga
1-1 2-1 154 W
25/05 Tukums 2000
Latvia Virsliga
2-0 3-1 124 W
21/05 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
1-0 4-0 80 W
17/05 FK Auda
Latvia Virsliga
2-0 3-0 66 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Glentoran vs RFS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RFS win (53%). Probabilities: Glentoran 23%, draw 24%, RFS 53%.

How many goals are expected in Glentoran vs RFS?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Glentoran 1.16 · RFS 1.85), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Glentoran vs RFS?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.