Prediction: NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans

Expected goals: 2.81 (NSI Runavik 1.39 · Hamrun Spartans 1.42). The model gives 36% home, 27% draw, 37% away. Over 2.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, NSI Runavik is 6-2-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Hamrun Spartans 4-2-4 over its own.

37%2
36% 27% 37%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NSI Runavik 1556 · Hamrun Spartans 1522
NSI RunavikDrawHamrun Spartans
Our model35%28%37%
Market36%27%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.81NSI Runavik 1.39 · Hamrun Spartans 1.42
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 54%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NSI RunavikHamrun Spartans
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.21.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.60.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.62.5 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.35.2 / 0.1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NSI Runavik

WLWWLWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 KI Klaksvik
Faroe Islands Premier League
0-0 0-0 24 D
29/06 Vikingur Gota
Faroe Islands Premier League
1-3 3-3 23 D
24/06 KI Klaksvik
Faroe Islands Cup
0-0 2-0 65 W
20/06 B68 Toftir
Faroe Islands Premier League
1-0 1-0 123 W
13/06 B36 Torshavn
Faroe Islands Premier League
2-0 3-0 66 W
30/05 AB Argir
Faroe Islands Premier League
1-1 2-3 32 L
25/05 EB/Streymur
Faroe Islands Premier League
0-0 1-0 60 W
17/05 07 Vestur
Faroe Islands Premier League
3-1 6-1 91 W
13/05 KI Klaksvik
Faroe Islands Cup
0-0 2-4 33 L
08/05 HB Torshavn
Faroe Islands Premier League
1-1 2-1 72 W

Hamrun Spartans

DWLLLWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/05 Valletta
Malta Premier League
2-0 2-0 73 W
09/05 Marsaxlokk FC
Malta Premier League
0-1 1-1 98 D
02/05 Valletta
Malta Premier League
0-0 1-2 75 L
25/04 Floriana
Malta Premier League
1-1 4-1 56 W
19/04 Naxxar Lions
Malta Premier League
2-0 3-0 53 W
15/04 Gzira United
Malta Premier League
0-0 0-1 75 L
11/04 Marsaxlokk FC
Malta Premier League
1-2 2-3 76 L
15/03 Mosta FC
Malta Premier League
0-1 1-2 118 L
08/03 Birkirkara
Malta Premier League
1-0 3-0 53 W
04/03 Valletta
Malta FA Trophy
0-0 1-1 106 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hamrun Spartans win (37%). Probabilities: NSI Runavik 36%, draw 27%, Hamrun Spartans 37%.

How many goals are expected in NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans?

The model expects 2.81 goals (NSI Runavik 1.39 · Hamrun Spartans 1.42), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.