Prediction: Hajduk Split vs MSK Zilina
Expected goals: 2.8 (Hajduk Split 1.84 · MSK Zilina 0.95). The model gives 58% home, 24% draw, 19% away. Under 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Hajduk Split sits at 5-3-2 (W-D-L), while MSK Zilina arrives on a 2-3-5 run.
| Hajduk Split | Draw | MSK Zilina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Market | 58% | 23% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hajduk Split (rating 1555 vs 1462).
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hajduk Split | MSK Zilina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hajduk Split
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | NK Celje Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | LNZ Lebedyn Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 23/06 | Shkendija Tetovo Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Vukovar 91 Croatia HNL |
3-2 | 6-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | NK Varazdin Croatia HNL |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/04 | NK Osijek Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
MSK Zilina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Pardubice Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | Odra Opole Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 24/06 | Dynamo Kiev Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Opava Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | FC Kosice Slovakia Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hajduk Split vs MSK Zilina?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hajduk Split win (58%). Probabilities: Hajduk Split 58%, draw 24%, MSK Zilina 19%.
How many goals are expected in Hajduk Split vs MSK Zilina?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Hajduk Split 1.84 · MSK Zilina 0.95), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hajduk Split vs MSK Zilina?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.