Prediction: Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska Niksic
Expected goals: 2.86 (Kairat Almaty 2.06 · Sutjeska Niksic 0.8). The model gives 66% home, 22% draw, 13% away. Over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 2-0.
On recent form, Kairat Almaty is 6-3-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Sutjeska Niksic 4-2-4 over its own.
| Kairat Almaty | Draw | Sutjeska Niksic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 22% | 13% |
| Market | 66% | 21% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kairat Almaty (rating 1572 vs 1499).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kairat Almaty | Sutjeska Niksic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kairat Almaty
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 17/06 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 28/05 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
Sutjeska Niksic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | FK Sarajevo Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | FK Mornar Bar Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/06 | Borac Banja Luka Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska Niksic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kairat Almaty win (66%). Probabilities: Kairat Almaty 66%, draw 22%, Sutjeska Niksic 13%.
How many goals are expected in Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska Niksic?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Kairat Almaty 2.06 · Sutjeska Niksic 0.8), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska Niksic?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.