Prediction: Floriana vs Shamrock Rovers

Expected goals: 2.46 (Floriana 1.04 · Shamrock Rovers 1.42). The model gives 27% home, 28% draw, 45% away. Over 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Floriana sits at 6-3-1 (W-D-L), while Shamrock Rovers arrives on a 6-1-3 run.

45%2
27% 28% 45%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Floriana 1562 · Shamrock Rovers 1564
FlorianaDrawShamrock Rovers
Our model27%29%44%
Market27%28%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.46Floriana 1.04 · Shamrock Rovers 1.42
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FlorianaShamrock Rovers
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.91.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.40.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.11.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.14 / 0.2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Floriana

DWDWWWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/05 Marsaxlokk FC
Malta Premier League
0-1 2-1 46 W
09/05 Valletta
Malta Premier League
0-0 0-0 45 D
30/04 Gzira United
Malta Premier League
1-0 1-0 51 W
25/04 Hamrun Spartans
Malta Premier League
1-1 1-4 26 L
18/04 Valletta
Malta Premier League
0-0 2-0 98 W
15/04 Marsaxlokk FC
Malta Premier League
2-1 3-1 54 W
11/04 Naxxar Lions
Malta Premier League
1-0 1-0 45 W
14/03 Birkirkara
Malta Premier League
2-1 2-2 34 D
07/03 Sliema Wanderers
Malta Premier League
0-0 1-0 25 W
01/03 Hamrun Spartans
Malta Premier League
1-0 1-1 34 D

Shamrock Rovers

LLWWLWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Sligo Rovers
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
0-1 2-1 36 W
30/06 Hibernian
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 32 W
26/06 Galway United
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
2-0 3-1 21 W
22/06 Derry City
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
0-1 1-1 67 D
19/06 Waterford FC
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
1-0 2-0 56 W
12/06 Shelbourne
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
0-1 1-2 52 L
29/05 St Patricks
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
1-0 1-0 46 W
25/05 Bohemians Dublin
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
0-1 2-1 35 W
22/05 Sligo Rovers
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
1-0 1-2 33 L
15/05 Dundalk
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
0-0 0-1 54 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Floriana vs Shamrock Rovers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shamrock Rovers win (45%). Probabilities: Floriana 27%, draw 28%, Shamrock Rovers 45%.

How many goals are expected in Floriana vs Shamrock Rovers?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Floriana 1.04 · Shamrock Rovers 1.42), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Floriana vs Shamrock Rovers?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.