Prediction: Vardar Skopje vs KuPS Kuopio

Expected goals: 2.42 (Vardar Skopje 1.4 · KuPS Kuopio 1.01). The model gives 45% home, 28% draw, 27% away. Under 2.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Vardar Skopje sits at 8-1-1 (W-D-L), while KuPS Kuopio arrives on a 6-4-0 run.

45%1
45% 28% 27%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vardar Skopje 1602 · KuPS Kuopio 1588
Vardar SkopjeDrawKuPS Kuopio
Our model45%29%26%
Market46%27%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.42Vardar Skopje 1.4 · KuPS Kuopio 1.01
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 55%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Vardar SkopjeKuPS Kuopio
Goals for / against (FT)2.8 / 0.31.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 0.11 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/10/10%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 7.14.2 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.23 / 0.2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vardar Skopje

LWDWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/05 Shkendija Tetovo
North Macedonia First League
2-0 3-0 29 W
15/05 FC Struga Trim & Lum
North Macedonia First League
1-0 1-0 25 W
09/05 FK Sileks
North Macedonia First League
2-0 2-1 31 W
02/05 KF Bashkimi
North Macedonia First League
2-0 2-0 W
26/04 Tikves Kavadarci
North Macedonia First League
4-0 7-0 87 W
18/04 KF Shkupi Skopje
North Macedonia First League
3-0 7-0 151 W
11/04 Rabotnicki Skopje
North Macedonia First League
1-0 1-0 49 W
08/04 Pelister Bitola
North Macedonia First League
0-0 0-0 77 D
04/04 Makedonija Gj. P
North Macedonia First League
2-0 5-1 64 W
21/03 KF Arsimi
North Macedonia First League
0-1 0-1 177 L

KuPS Kuopio

DWWWDDDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 HJK Helsinki
Finland Veikkausliiga
1-0 4-0 91 W
23/06 FC Ilves
Finland Veikkausliiga
4-1 4-3 42 W
17/06 TPS
Finland Veikkausliiga
1-0 2-1 43 W
13/06 VPS Vaasa
Finland Veikkausliiga
0-1 1-1 108 D
10/06 VPS Vaasa
Finland Cup
0-0 0-0 43 D
30/05 FC Inter
Finland Veikkausliiga
0-0 1-1 45 D
26/05 JaPS
Finland Cup
0-0 1-0 103 W
23/05 FC Lahti
Finland Veikkausliiga
2-1 2-1 94 W
20/05 FF Jaro
Finland Veikkausliiga
1-0 3-0 81 W
16/05 IFK Mariehamn
Finland Veikkausliiga
1-1 1-1 92 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vardar Skopje vs KuPS Kuopio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vardar Skopje win (45%). Probabilities: Vardar Skopje 45%, draw 28%, KuPS Kuopio 27%.

How many goals are expected in Vardar Skopje vs KuPS Kuopio?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Vardar Skopje 1.4 · KuPS Kuopio 1.01), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vardar Skopje vs KuPS Kuopio?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.