Prediction: CS Petrocub vs FK Egnatia
Expected goals: 2.83 (CS Petrocub 1.77 · FK Egnatia 1.06). The model gives 52% home, 26% draw, 21% away. Over 2.25 goals (57%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves CS Petrocub with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; FK Egnatia has piled up 4-1-5 in the same span.
| CS Petrocub | Draw | FK Egnatia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 52% | 27% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Petrocub (rating 1570 vs 1502).
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Petrocub | FK Egnatia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.6 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 56/11/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 0.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 6.1 / 0.5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Petrocub
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | FC Balti Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
FK Egnatia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Club Friendly List |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | FC Dinamo City Albania Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | AF Elbasani Albania Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 11 | W |
| 13/05 | FC Dinamo City Albania Cup |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | Teuta Durres Albania Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Partizani Tirana Albania Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Dinamo City Albania Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | FK Vora Albania Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/04 | AF Elbasani Albania Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CS Petrocub vs FK Egnatia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Petrocub win (52%). Probabilities: CS Petrocub 52%, draw 26%, FK Egnatia 21%.
How many goals are expected in CS Petrocub vs FK Egnatia?
The model expects 2.83 goals (CS Petrocub 1.77 · FK Egnatia 1.06), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CS Petrocub vs FK Egnatia?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

