Prediction: CS Petrocub vs FK Egnatia

Expected goals: 2.83 (CS Petrocub 1.77 · FK Egnatia 1.06). The model gives 52% home, 26% draw, 21% away. Over 2.25 goals (57%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves CS Petrocub with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; FK Egnatia has piled up 4-1-5 in the same span.

52%1
52% 26% 21%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Petrocub 1570 · FK Egnatia 1502
CS PetrocubDrawFK Egnatia
Our model53%26%22%
Market52%27%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.83CS Petrocub 1.77 · FK Egnatia 1.06
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 57%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Petrocub (rating 1570 vs 1502).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CS PetrocubFK Egnatia
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.61.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.11 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%56/11/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.80.5 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.16.1 / 0.5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Petrocub

WDWWWWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 FC Milsami
Moldova Divizia Nationala
2-0 5-0 54 W
28/06 Dacia Buiucani
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 2-1 52 W
17/05 Zimbru Chisinau
Moldova Divizia Nationala
1-0 1-1 29 D
13/05 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Cup
0-1 0-2 53 L
10/05 FC Balti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
1-0 3-0 94 W
06/05 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Cup
1-0 1-0 56 W
02/05 FC Milsami
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 3-0 73 W
26/04 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Divizia Nationala
1-0 1-0 34 W
22/04 FC Balti
Moldova Cup
0-0 1-1 31 D
18/04 Dacia Buiucani
Moldova Divizia Nationala
1-0 2-1 49 W

FK Egnatia

DLLWLLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/06 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Club Friendly List
2-3 L
31/05 FC Dinamo City
Albania Championship
2-0 2-0 58 W
23/05 Vllaznia Shkoder
Albania Championship
1-0 2-1 39 W
17/05 AF Elbasani
Albania Championship
3-0 4-0 011 W
13/05 FC Dinamo City
Albania Cup
0-2 2-3 38 L
10/05 Teuta Durres
Albania Championship
1-1 2-3 21 L
06/05 Partizani Tirana
Albania Championship
1-0 2-0 41 W
02/05 FC Dinamo City
Albania Championship
0-2 0-2 86 L
26/04 FK Vora
Albania Championship
0-2 0-2 L
22/04 AF Elbasani
Albania Cup
1-0 1-1 29 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Petrocub vs FK Egnatia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Petrocub win (52%). Probabilities: CS Petrocub 52%, draw 26%, FK Egnatia 21%.

How many goals are expected in CS Petrocub vs FK Egnatia?

The model expects 2.83 goals (CS Petrocub 1.77 · FK Egnatia 1.06), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Petrocub vs FK Egnatia?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.