Prediction: FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Iberia 1999
Expected goals: 2.61 (FC Flora Tallinn 1.2 · FC Iberia 1999 1.41). The model gives 31% home, 28% draw, 41% away. Under 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, FC Flora Tallinn sits at 8-0-2 (W-D-L), while FC Iberia 1999 arrives on a 4-3-3 run.
| FC Flora Tallinn | Draw | FC Iberia 1999 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Flora Tallinn (rating 1595 vs 1504).
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Flora Tallinn | FC Iberia 1999 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 7.4 | 2.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 5 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Flora Tallinn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/05 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Cup |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
FC Iberia 1999
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Super Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Super Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/06 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/05 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 20/05 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Iberia 1999?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Iberia 1999 win (41%). Probabilities: FC Flora Tallinn 31%, draw 28%, FC Iberia 1999 41%.
How many goals are expected in FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Iberia 1999?
The model expects 2.61 goals (FC Flora Tallinn 1.2 · FC Iberia 1999 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Iberia 1999?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.