Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 10/07, 20:45
Prediction: Cliftonville (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.27Total
Cliftonville (W)3.14
Lisburn Rangers (W)1.14
1X2
Cliftonville (W)
Draw
Lisburn Rangers (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cliftonville (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Lisburn Rangers (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cliftonville (W)
5–0
Lisburn Rangers (W)
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cliftonville (W) 1608 · Lisburn Rangers (W) 1434
| Cliftonville (W) | Draw | Lisburn Rangers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 84% | 10% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.27 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cliftonville (W) (rating 1608 vs 1434).
- H2H favours Cliftonville (W): 5-0-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cliftonville (W) | Lisburn Rangers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 2.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 20/0/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 6.8 | 1.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cliftonville (W) 5–0–0 Lisburn Rangers (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Cliftonville (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lisburn Rangers (W) |
| 25/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Cliftonville (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Lisburn Rangers (W) |
| 15/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Cliftonville (W) |
| 16/09/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 1-8 HT 0-4 | Cliftonville (W) |
| 30/06/24 Northern Ireland League Cup Women | Cliftonville (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Lisburn Rangers (W) |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linfield (W) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Glentoran (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Cliftonville (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 27 | 11 |
| 5 | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
| 6 | Derry City (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 7 |
| 7 | Lisburn (W) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 4 |
| 8 | Larne FC (W) | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cliftonville (W) | Lisburn Rangers (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Glentoran (W) | 4-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Larne FC (W) | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Derry City (W) | 5-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Linfield (W) | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Crusaders Strikers (W) | 7-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Cliftonville (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cliftonville (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Shelbourne (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 7-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/10 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/10 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
Lisburn Rangers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Peamount Utd (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Galway (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/10 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 28/09 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-5 | 1-8 | 2 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cliftonville (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cliftonville (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Cliftonville (W) 80%, draw 12%, Lisburn Rangers (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in Cliftonville (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)?
The model expects 4.27 goals (Cliftonville (W) 3.14 · Lisburn Rangers (W) 1.14), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Cliftonville (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.