Football · Finland Kolmonen · 04/07, 12:00

Prediction: Sibbov vs JäPS/47

Expected goals: 4.28 (Sibbov 2.15 · JäPS/47 2.13). The model gives 40% home, 21% draw, 39% away. Under 4.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 2-2.

Over its last 10 matches, Sibbov sits at 6-1-3 (W-D-L), while JäPS/47 arrives on a 5-2-3 run.

40%1
40% 21% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sibbov 1547 · JäPS/47 1528
SibbovDrawJäPS/47
Our model40%21%39%
Market40%21%39%
Estimated total (ours) 4.28 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.28Sibbov 2.15 · JäPS/47 2.13
Over / Under 4.25Under 4.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 63%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SibbovJäPS/47
Goals for / against (FT)2.7 / 2.22.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.6 / 0.41.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)67/33/0%75/13/13%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.43.3 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.43.3 / 0.4

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Futura 9810 41825
2 FC Lahti II 10622 171120
3 Sibbov 9612 271919
4 Atlantis II 9522 221317
5 RiPS 9513 201916
6 JäPS/47 9423 201414
7 TuPS 10415 191313
8 Gnistan/Ogeli 10235 14269
9 Ponnistus 10226 14328
10 ToTe/Tapio 9036 9273
11 TiPS U21 10028 8292

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSibbovJäPS/47
FC Lahti II 2-2 D 0-0 D
TuPS 6-3 W 2-3 L
RiPS 3-2 W 2-4 L
Gnistan/Ogeli 3-1 W 2-2 D
TiPS U21 4-2 W 4-0 W
FC Futura 1-5 L 0-1 L
Atlantis II 1-2 L 3-2 W
MK United 0-3 L 2-1 W
ToTe/Tapio 4-1 W 3-1 W
Ponnistus 3-1 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 6 W 1 D 3 L 5 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: JäPS/47 (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sibbov

WWLLLWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 FC Lahti II
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-2 66 D
17/06 TuPS
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 6-3 63 W
06/06 RiPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-2 37 W
30/05 Gnistan/Ogeli
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-1 73 W
23/05 TiPS U21
Finland Kolmonen
4-2 4-2 16 W
15/05 FC Futura
Finland Kolmonen
1-5 L
09/05 Atlantis II
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-2 22 L
02/05 MK United
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-3 14 L
25/04 ToTe/Tapio
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 4-1 54 W
18/04 Ponnistus
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-1 92 W

JäPS/47

DWDWLLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 Atlantis II
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-2 57 W
11/06 TiPS U21
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 4-0 61 W
03/06 FC Futura
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
31/05 Ponnistus
Finland Kolmonen
4-1 W
22/05 RiPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 2-4 83 L
17/05 TuPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-3 21 L
08/05 ToTe/Tapio
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 3-1 146 W
03/05 FC Lahti II
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-0 72 D
26/04 MK United
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-1 95 W
17/04 Gnistan/Ogeli
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-2 104 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sibbov vs JäPS/47?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sibbov win (40%). Probabilities: Sibbov 40%, draw 21%, JäPS/47 39%.

How many goals are expected in Sibbov vs JäPS/47?

The model expects 4.28 goals (Sibbov 2.15 · JäPS/47 2.13), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sibbov vs JäPS/47?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.