Prediction: Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Expected goals: 1.7 (Changchun Xidu 0.79 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 0.92). The model gives 29% home, 34% draw, 37% away. Under 1.75 goals (53%) and not both to score (55%). Most likely score: 0-0.
On recent form, Changchun Xidu is 1-5-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Dalian Young Boy Reserves 3-5-2 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Changchun Xidu won 0 and Dalian Young Boy Reserves 0, with 1 draw.
| Changchun Xidu | Draw | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 37% | 35% |
| Market | 30% | 33% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalian Young Boy Reserves (rating 1468 vs 1514).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Changchun Xidu | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Changchun Xidu 0–1–0 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 China Division 2 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Changchun Xidu |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 10 | 31 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 22 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 14 |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 11 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Changchun Xidu | Dalian Young Boy Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Tai'an Tiankuang | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Nantong Haimen Codion | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Dalian Kewei | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Beijing Institute | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Shanghai Segenda | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 5 D 4 L | 3 W 5 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Dalian Young Boy Reserves (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Changchun Xidu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 23/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/05 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/04 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Dalian Young Boy Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/06 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 27/05 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/05 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dalian Young Boy Reserves win (37%). Probabilities: Changchun Xidu 29%, draw 34%, Dalian Young Boy Reserves 37%.
How many goals are expected in Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?
The model expects 1.7 goals (Changchun Xidu 0.79 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.