Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Xiamen Feilu
Expected goals: 1.91 (Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0.71 · Xiamen Feilu 1.2). The model gives 22% home, 31% draw, 48% away. Under 2 goals (55%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 0-1.
Recent form leaves Wuhan Three Towns Reserves with 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; Xiamen Feilu has piled up 4-3-3 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Wuhan Three Towns Reserves won 0 and Xiamen Feilu 1.
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | Draw | Xiamen Feilu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 33% | 47% |
| Market | 22% | 29% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xiamen Feilu (rating 1436 vs 1531).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | Xiamen Feilu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0–0–1 Xiamen Feilu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 China Division 2 | Xiamen Feilu | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Xiamen Feilu | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 24 |
| 5 | Jiangxi Lushan | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 6 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 19 |
| 8 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 9 | Guangdong Mingtu | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 16 |
| 10 | Wenzhou FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | Xiamen Feilu |
|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Wenzhou FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Shenzhen 2028 | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Guangdong Mingtu | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Jiangxi Lushan | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Hubei Istar | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 6 L | 4 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Xiamen Feilu (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/05 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
Xiamen Feilu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/06 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 29/04 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Xiamen Feilu?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Xiamen Feilu win (48%). Probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 22%, draw 31%, Xiamen Feilu 48%.
How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Xiamen Feilu?
The model expects 1.91 goals (Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0.71 · Xiamen Feilu 1.2), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Xiamen Feilu?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.