Football · China Division 2 · 11/07, 13:30

Prediction: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Tai'an Tiankuang

Expected goals: 1.6 (Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0.78 · Tai'an Tiankuang 0.81). The model gives 32% home, 35% draw, 33% away. Under 1.75 goals (54%) and not both to score (56%). Most likely score: 0-0.

On recent form, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic is 2-5-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Tai'an Tiankuang 3-3-4 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic won 0 and Tai'an Tiankuang 3, with 2 draws.

35%X
32% 35% 33%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1483 · Tai'an Tiankuang 1479
Lanzhou Longyuan AthleticDrawTai'an Tiankuang
Our model30%38%32%
Market33%33%35%
Estimated total (ours) 1.6 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.6Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0.78 · Tai'an Tiankuang 0.81
Over / Under 1.75Under 1.75 · 54%
BTTSNo · 56%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Tai'an Tiankuang: 3-2-0.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lanzhou Longyuan AthleticTai'an Tiankuang
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 0.80.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.82.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 04.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 023 Tai'an Tiankuang

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
China Division 2
Tai'an Tiankuang0-0
HT 0-0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
02/07/25
China Division 2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1-2
HT 1-2
Tai'an Tiankuang
27/04/25
China Division 2
Tai'an Tiankuang3-0
HT 0-0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
24/06/24
China Division 2
Tai'an Tiankuang1-1
HT 0-0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
10/04/24
China Division 2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0-1
HT 0-0
Tai'an Tiankuang

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Shanghai Port Reserves 15942 271031
2 Shandong Taishan Reserves 15924 221329
3 Dalian Kewei 15672 12725
4 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 15735 201424
5 Tai'an Tiankuang 15645 161422
6 Dalian Young Boy Reserves 15492 141221
7 Qingdao Red Lions 15384 141417
8 Nantong Haimen Codion 15285 161614
9 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 14284 51014
10 Changchun Xidu 15285 81814
11 Shanghai Segenda 15258 142711
12 Beijing Institute 14167 11249

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLanzhou Longyuan AthleticTai'an Tiankuang
Shandong Taishan Reserves 1-3 L 0-1 L
Dalian Young Boy Reserves 0-0 D 1-0 W
Changchun Xidu 0-0 D 0-1 L
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0-0 D 2-3 L
Dalian Kewei 0-0 D 2-1 W
Shanghai Port Reserves 0-1 L 0-1 L
Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 W 1-1 D
Shanghai Segenda 1-2 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 4 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Tai'an Tiankuang (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

LWWLDDDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
0-2 1-3 63 L
27/06 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 53 D
23/06 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 85 D
19/06 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
China FA Cup
1-1 1-1 103 D
13/06 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 63 D
05/06 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 82 D
26/05 Shanghai Port Reserves
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 42 L
16/05 Meizhou Hakka
China FA Cup
2-0 2-1 63 W
10/05 Qingdao Red Lions
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 24 W
04/05 Shanghai Segenda
China Division 2
0-0 1-2 32 L

Tai'an Tiankuang

DLWWWDLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 67 L
28/06 Beijing Institute
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 72 D
24/06 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-2 2-3 64 L
20/06 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 75 L
13/06 Shanghai Segenda
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 45 D
26/05 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
2-1 2-1 33 W
22/05 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 46 W
09/05 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
1-0 2-1 21 W
04/05 Shanghai Port Reserves
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 L
30/04 Qingdao Red Lions
China Division 2
0-0 1-1 38 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (35%). Probabilities: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 32%, draw 35%, Tai'an Tiankuang 33%.

How many goals are expected in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model expects 1.6 goals (Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0.78 · Tai'an Tiankuang 0.81), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.