Prediction: Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Expected goals: 2.43 (Shanghai Port Reserves 1.54 · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0.89). The model gives 51% home, 28% draw, 21% away. Over 2.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Shanghai Port Reserves with 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has piled up 5-3-2 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Shanghai Port Reserves and 0 for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai, with 1 draw.
| Shanghai Port Reserves | Draw | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 28% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 28% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Shanghai Port Reserves: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Port Reserves | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 1.5 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Port Reserves 2–1–0 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 China Division 2 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Shanghai Port Reserves |
| 07/06/25 China Division 2 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shanghai Port Reserves |
| 30/03/25 China Division 2 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 10 | 31 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 22 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 14 |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 11 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Port Reserves | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai |
|---|---|---|
| Beijing Institute | 5-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Dalian Kewei | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Shanghai Segenda | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Tai'an Tiankuang | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Changchun Xidu | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Port Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
4-1 | 5-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/05 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 04/05 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/04 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Qingdao West Coast China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Changchun Yatai China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Port Reserves win (51%). Probabilities: Shanghai Port Reserves 51%, draw 28%, Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 21%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Shanghai Port Reserves 1.54 · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0.89), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.