Football · China Division 2 · 11/07, 13:00

Prediction: Beijing Institute vs Nantong Haimen Codion

Expected goals: 2.52 (Beijing Institute 1.02 · Nantong Haimen Codion 1.49). The model gives 25% home, 28% draw, 47% away. Over 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Beijing Institute sits at 1-6-3 (W-D-L), while Nantong Haimen Codion arrives on a 1-6-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Beijing Institute won 1 and Nantong Haimen Codion 3, with 2 draws.

47%2
25% 28% 47%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beijing Institute 1459 · Nantong Haimen Codion 1486
Beijing InstituteDrawNantong Haimen Codion
Our model25%28%47%
Market25%28%47%
Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.52Beijing Institute 1.02 · Nantong Haimen Codion 1.49
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Nantong Haimen Codion: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Beijing InstituteNantong Haimen Codion
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.50.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.90.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/70/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.92.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 03.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Institute 123 Nantong Haimen Codion

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
China Division 2
Nantong Haimen Codion2-2
HT 1-1
Beijing Institute
12/07/25
China Division 2
Nantong Haimen Codion3-1
HT 1-0
Beijing Institute
07/05/25
China Division 2
Beijing Institute2-3
HT 2-2
Nantong Haimen Codion
28/07/24
China Division 2
Beijing Institute1-2
HT 1-1
Nantong Haimen Codion
25/05/24
China Division 2
Nantong Haimen Codion1-1
HT 1-1
Beijing Institute
02/07/23
China Division 2
Beijing Institute1-0
HT 1-0
Nantong Haimen Codion

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Shanghai Port Reserves 15942 271031
2 Shandong Taishan Reserves 15924 221329
3 Dalian Kewei 15672 12725
4 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 15735 201424
5 Tai'an Tiankuang 15645 161422
6 Dalian Young Boy Reserves 15492 141221
7 Qingdao Red Lions 15384 141417
8 Nantong Haimen Codion 15285 161614
9 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 14284 51014
10 Changchun Xidu 15285 81814
11 Shanghai Segenda 15258 142711
12 Beijing Institute 14167 11249

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBeijing InstituteNantong Haimen Codion
Shanghai Port Reserves 1-5 L 2-2 D
Tai'an Tiankuang 1-1 D 1-2 L
Shandong Taishan Reserves 1-3 L 0-0 D
Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1-1 D 1-2 L
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1-2 L 1-1 D
Changchun Xidu 0-0 D 0-0 D
Shanghai Segenda 1-0 W 2-2 D
Qingdao Red Lions 1-1 D 1-0 W
Dalian Kewei 0-0 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 5 D 3 L 1 W 5 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beijing Institute

DDDWDLDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Shanghai Port Reserves
China Division 2
1-4 1-5 31 L
28/06 Tai'an Tiankuang
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 12 D
24/06 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
0-1 1-3 42 L
13/06 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 57 D
06/06 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-1 1-2 64 L
27/05 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 72 D
23/05 Shanghai Segenda
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 43 W
04/05 Qingdao Red Lions
China Division 2
0-0 1-1 28 D
30/04 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 62 D
25/04 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
1-1 2-2 14 D

Nantong Haimen Codion

DDLWDDLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
1-0 1-2 36 L
27/06 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 80 D
23/06 Shanghai Port Reserves
China Division 2
2-0 2-2 43 D
19/06 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 1-2 73 L
13/06 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 63 D
27/05 Shanghai Segenda
China Division 2
1-2 2-2 55 D
23/05 Qingdao Red Lions
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 95 W
09/05 Tai'an Tiankuang
China Division 2
0-1 1-2 11 L
04/05 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-1 1-1 46 D
30/04 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 112 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beijing Institute vs Nantong Haimen Codion?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nantong Haimen Codion win (47%). Probabilities: Beijing Institute 25%, draw 28%, Nantong Haimen Codion 47%.

How many goals are expected in Beijing Institute vs Nantong Haimen Codion?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Beijing Institute 1.02 · Nantong Haimen Codion 1.49), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Beijing Institute vs Nantong Haimen Codion?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.